February 4, 2018
Summary: We begin this week with the same old story. Strong upper level high pressure remains anchored off shore with a ridge extending into the Pacific Northwest. There are a few high clouds which will move overhead from time to time, but it may be difficult to see them through the haze. Models maintain the blocking ridge of upper level high pressure through Friday night. another solution could potentially be a fast moving low ending up along the northern California coast Saturday and into southern California Sunday. I almost want to use the words “light showers are possible next Sunday”, but the better option is the high will deflect this system into the Great Basin. At any rate, considering the persistence of this pattern, I’ll go with a dry forecast indefinitely.
The two week model out this morning indicates there’s a very high chance of dry weather through the seventeenth of February with above average temperatures continuing.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Wednesday with occasional high clouds and patchy night and morning fog. Mostly clear Wednesday night through Friday night with patchy night and morning fog. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday through Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 74/42/72/41/68 | Reedley 75/42/73/42/68 | Dinuba 73/41/71/41/68 | |
| Porterville 75/42/72/41/70 | Lindsay 75/40/72/41/69 | Delano 75/44/73/42/70 | |
| Bakersfield 76/49/74/50/72 | Arvin 77/46/74/44/73 | Taft 75/53/73/51/72 | |
| Lamont 76/45/73/44/72 | Pixley 74/42/73/41/70 | Tulare 74/41/71/41/69 | |
| Woodlake 74/43/72/42/68 | Hanford 75/42/73/42/70 | Orosi 74/40/72/40/68 | |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Wednesday
Mostly clear 41/72 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 42/71 |
Friday
Mostly clear 43/73 |
Saturday
Partly cloudy 43/70 |
Sunday
Partly cloudy 44/73 |
Two Week Outlook: February 11 through February 17: This model now indicates a blocking ridge of upper level high pressure will be over and off the west coast. This pattern would drive the storm track well north. Temperatures would rise to marginally above average values, assuming the fog doesn’t take over, with very little chance of precipitation.
February: This model doesn’t really grasp at any particular pattern through the month. In fact, central California, if you believe this model, should have temperatures close to seasonal values with near average precipitation, as well.
February, March, April: This model goes all the way through April and it is calling for a ridge of upper level high pressure off the southern California coast to be the most dominant, but not the only, feature during the spring months. If this model has any credence at all, temperatures should be marginally above average with below average precipitation.
Winds: Winds will be generally less than 10 MPH through Wednesday with near calm conditions nights and mornings.
Rain: Expect dry weather for the next week and possibly ten days.
Frost: All locations will be above 32 degrees tonight and each night for the remainder of the week.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 40s to the mid 50s. Upper 40s to the mid 50s.
Humidity: Visalia, 50%/100% Bakersfield, 45/90%
Actual Humidity February 2, 2018: Delano, 90%/44%. Porterville, 97%/44%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today 90% tomorrow 90%, Bakersfield: Today 90% tomorrow 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days February 2, 2018: Stratford .NA, Parlier .42, Blackwell .48 Lindcove .46, Arvin .48, Orange Cove .52, Porterville .43, Delano .45., Madera Two .44. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 51, Parlier 53, Blackwell 55, Lindcove, 56, Arvin, 54, Orange Cove 50, Porterville 52, Delano 51, Madera Two 52
7.2
Record Temperatures: 77/25. Average Temperatures: 59/37
Heating Degree Days this Season: 1312, -466 Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperatures for February so far, 54.5 +6.5
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since October 1, 2017 Fresno: 1.64 season. or -4.14. Month to Date: .00
Since October 1, 2017, Bakersfield: 1.10, or -2.11, Month to Date: .00
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 700, Parlier, 728, Arvin, 679, Shafter, 794, Stratford, 716, Madera two, 1162, Lindcove, 858, Porterville, 1139. Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:58 am Sunset: 5:28 pm. Hours of Daylight: 10:27
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 74 / 41 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 73 / 45 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 73 / 40 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 73 / 37 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 75 / 46 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 72 / 40 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1555 / 75 / 41 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 74 / 41 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1553 / 72 / 52 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Season % Last y. % Ave. Annual Ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 3.99 51 12.91 166 7.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 3.55 51 10.99 158 6.96 13.11
MERCED 0.00 2.29 36 10.40 165 6.31 12.50
MADERA 0.00 1.55 24 9.76 154 6.34 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 1.64 28 10.23 174 5.88 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 1.78 34 6.68 126 5.30 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 1.10 34 5.88 181 3.25 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 0.20 7 5.63 205 2.75 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 2.51 37 10.21 150 6.79 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 2.30 34 11.26 169 6.68 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 2.02 28 10.94 154 7.11 13.95
Next Report: Monday, February 5