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Forecast

March 4, 2018/pm update

March 4, 2018

Summary: A northwest flow continues to generate upslope cloudiness, especially in Tulare and Kern Counties.  This flow is lifted by the Kern County mountains and the Sierra Nevada and condenses into clouds.  There is a bit of uncertainty as to whether or not these clouds hang in there throughout the night.  It’s possible they could last through the early morning hours, especially in Kern County, but that is by no means a guarantee as the air mass aloft will become drier hour by hour.

 

The overall whether pattern is upper level high pressure building in from the west.  A cold layer of air remains on the valley floor and will create conditions favorable for below freezing conditions tonight.  However, as the high continues to build and the flow aloft becomes more west to east, temperatures will become significantly warmer by Monday with warmer locations possibly eclipsing the 70 degree mark as early as Tuesday.

 

The pattern for Thursday and beyond is still not set in concrete.  There does seem to be a trend developing, however, for a drier solution for Friday and Saturday.  For now, it seems Sunday through Tuesday have a better shot at precipitation as another cold trough of low pressure digs southward from the Gulf of Alaska.  Models vary on how far south precipitation will progress, but in the longer term it seems to be our best chance at rain.

 

For tonight, coldest overnight lows will drop down into the 27 to 28 degree range in river bottom and like locations where skies are clear with most other locations between 29 and 34.  Durations at or below 28 in coldest locations will only be for a few hours, at worse.  As mentioned above, a rapid warming trend will begin Monday and last through mid week as a mild westerly flow takes over.

 

Lows Tuesday morning will generally be in the mid to upper 30s with coldest locations possibly in the lower 30s.  for Wednesday and beyond, temperatures will actually move into the lower 70s during the afternoons and jump into the upper 30s to the mid 40s for overnight lows Wednesday through Friday.  Very mild conditions will prevail over the weekend with a small chance of showers Saturday and a greater possibility Sunday and Monday.  So the bottom line is, no serious frost threat will be on the horizon.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

30

Porterville

30

Ivanhoe

29

Woodlake

30

Strathmore

30

McFarland

31

Ducor

32

Tea Pot Dome

30

Lindsay

29

Exeter

29

Famoso

31

Madera

29

Belridge

30

Delano

31

North Bakersfield

31

Orosi

29

Orange Cove

28`

Lindcove

29

Lindcove Hillside

32

Sanger River Bottom

26

Root Creek

28

Venice Hill

30

Rosedale

31

Jasmine

31

Arvin

32

Lamont

31

Plainview

30

Mettler

AF

Edison

32

Maricopa

31

Holland Creek

31

Tivy Valley

29

Kite Road South

32

Kite Road North

29

 

Next report: Monday morning, March 5