November 5, 2018
Summary: This week will be a tad cooler than last week with readings generally running in the mid 70s at most locations. The eastern Pacific high has slid a bit further towards the southwest which keeps the northwest flow going aloft. The main Pacific storm track is still moving through the Pacific Northwest with weak waves of low pressure moving southeastward into the Great Basin from time to time. These features have very little weather associated with them, but they will keep the high far enough off shore to maintain very pleasant November temperatures.
This basic pattern will continue until about the twelfth of November then the high will buckle somewhat, possibly allowing light precipitation into northern California. For now, it appears central California will remain dry. Medium range models for after the fifteenth show a large ridge over and off the west coast, ending any hope of rain for our region. So, barring anything unforeseen, we may experience dry weather all the way through the twentieth. A lot could change between now and then, but considering the persistence of this pattern, rain appears unlikely.
Forecast: Other than periods of high clouds at times, it will be mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear to possibly occasionally partly cloudy Thursday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 77/42/75/41/74 | Reedley 78/43/75/42/75 | Dinuba 76/41/73/40/73 | |
| Porterville 77/43/75/42/75 | Lindsay 77/41/74/40/75 | Delano 77/45/75/44/74 | |
| Bakersfield 77/50/75/50/75 | Taft 76/55/75/53/75 | Arvin 78/47/76/47/76 | |
| Lamont 78/49/76/48/75 | Pixley 77/44/74/43/74 | Tulare 75/41/74/40/73 | |
| Woodlake 77/42/75/42/74 | Hanford 78/43/75/43/74 | Orosi 76/42/75/42/75 | |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Thursday
Mostly clear 42/75 |
Friday
Mostly clear 43/76 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 41/75 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 40/73 |
Monday
Mostly clear 41/76 |
Two Week Outlook: November 12 through November 18: This model continues to show a blocking ridge along the west coast with little chance of precipitation and somewhat above average temperatures. One model, though, suggests a deep trough of low pressure will move through just after Veteran’s Day for even a chance of showers. For now, we’ll keep the forecast dry and see what trend develops going forward.
November: This model really does not give much of a grasp on chances for precipitation. It does indicate rain will be below average over the Pacific Northwest which would tend to lean towards a below average precipitation period for central California as well. As usual, these long range models indicate above average temperatures.
November, December January: According to this model, temperatures overall will be above average, indicating higher than average pressures over the Golden State. Precipitation, with a little bit of luck, should at least range near seasonal averages. However, what concerns me a bit is this model shows drier than average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Usually, this does not bode well for decent rains for California.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week to ten days.
Frost Discussion: No chance of frost for the foreseeable future at this time.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Humidity: Visalia: 35%/90% Bakersfield: 30%/65%
Actual Humidity November 4, 2018: Delano, 86%/37% Porterville, 90%/29%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90% tomorrow 90% Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 90%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .89, Parlier .71, Blackwell .89, Lindcove .69, Arvin .84, Orange Cove .81, Porterville .72, Delano .74 Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 63, Parlier 63, Blackwell 69, Lindcove, 66, Arvin, 62, Orange Cove 63, Porterville 65, Delano 59
Record Temperatures: 90/33. Average Temperatures: 70/43
Heating Degree Days this Season: 44 -94
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for November so far: 61.6 +4.6
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: .10 season. or -0.66 Month to Date: .00 -.13
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: .00, or -.37. Month to Date: .00 -.07
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 0 Parlier, 7 Orange Cove 0, Arvin, 0 Shafter, 9 Stratford, 4 Lindcove, 0 Delano 6, Porterville, 14 Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:28 am Sunset: 4:57 pm. Hours of Daylight: 10:29
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 83 / 52 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 80 / 54 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 80 / 48 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 82 / 49 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 79 / 56 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 78 / 50 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1554 / 81 / 52 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 79 / 51 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1549 / 78 / 59 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
STOCKTON 0.00 1.28 125 0.13 13 1.02 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 0.01 1 0.13 16 0.83 13.11
MERCED 0.00 T 0 0.15 15 1.00 12.50
MADERA 0.00 T 0 0.08 8 1.06 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 0.10 13 0.09 12 0.76 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 0.04 6 0.06 9 0.69 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.37 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 0.40 111 0.00 0 0.36 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 0.67 94 0.21 30 0.71 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.03 4 0.20 27 0.75 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.35 47 0.04 5 0.75 13.95
Next report: Monday, November 5/PM