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Forecast

April 12, 2019/report

April 12, 2019

Summary: Winds have died off throughout the valley this  morning but will pick up again during the late morning and afternoon hours, especially along the west side where winds will peak at 15 to 25 MPH this afternoon.  The trough that moved through yesterday is now centered over Utah and is shifting eastward.  That will allow high pressure over the eastern Pacific to shift eastward into California, dominating our weather into early Monday. As a result, a nice warming trend will ensue beginning Saturday as temperatures jump into the low 80s.  warmer locations could shoot up into the mid 80s by Sunday.

 

The next low will move rapidly through the Pacific Northwest then will drop into Nevada late Monday night and Tuesday.  The chance for light showers over the Sierra Nevada is high with even a  minimal chance of isolated light showers over the valley floor north of Kern County.  Most locations, though, will remain dry.  As pressures fall over the interior once again, gusty winds can be expected Tuesday, diminishing by Wednesday.

 

It’s possible we could see our first 90 degree readings late  next week as medium range models show a strong high building over the eastern Pacific and  moving eastward over the western U.S.  The new two week model is indicating above average temperatures with almost no chance of rain through the 25th.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday.  Partly cloudy Monday  night.  variable cloudiness Tuesday with a small chance of isolated light showers, mainly north of Kern County.  Partly to mostly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.  Mostly clear Wednesday afternoon through Friday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 71/45/80/50/82 Reedley 72/46/81/49/83 Dinuba 70/44/80/48/81
Porterville 72/45/80/50/83 Lindsay 72/44/81/49/82 Delano 71/46/81/50/83
Bakersfield 71/48/82/55/84 Taft 71/51/81/56/82 Arvin 70/44/82/52/83
Lamont 71/48/82/53/83 Pixley 72/45/81/50/82 Tulare 70/44/80/48/82
Woodlake 71/45/80/49/81 Hanford 71/46/81/50/83 Orosi 71/44/80/49/82

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Partly cloudy late

52/79

Tuesday

Small chance of showers

53/71

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

43/72

Thursday

Mostly clear

47/80

Friday

Mostly clear

53/87

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 18 through April 24:  A persistent ridge of upper level high pressure is projected to anchor over the eastern Pacific and the western third of the U.S., driving temperatures above average.  Expect dry conditions.

 

April: This model shows April will be fairly typical with near to marginally above average temperatures during the month.  This model also indicates there will be equal chances of above or below average precipitation. In other words, the road map on this model is rather vague.

 

April, May, June: Like the April projection, this model really has no dominant features that would indicate either above or below average temperatures, although the overall pattern should result in marginally above average readings.  We are moving into the dry season, and this model indicates equal chances of above or below average rainfall.  As we move forward, this will become a moot point.

 

Winds:  Winds this morning will be generally less than 10 MPH.  Winds this afternoon will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 15 MPH with local gusts to 25 MPH, especially along the west side.  Winds tonight through Monday will be generally at or less than 15 MPH and mostly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings.

 

Rain: Dry weather will prevail through Monday evening.  There is a small chance of isolated light showers Tuesday, mainly north of Kern County, although most locations will remain dry.  Any locations that do record rain would more than likely pick up no  more than a few hundredths of an inch.

 

From Wednesday and on, expect dry conditions, although one model is showing a low trying to  move into central California around the 21st.  For now, we’ll take a wait and see attitude.

 

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 30%/80% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 30%/65%

Actual Humidity April 11, 2019: Delano, 79%/41% Porterville, 87%/NA%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.47, Parlier .1.26, Blackwell 1.29, Lindcove .NA, Arvin 1.26, Orange Cove 1.10, Porterville 1.18, Delano 1.25 Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 62, Parlier 63, Blackwell 58, Lindcove, 60, Arvin, 64, Orange Cove 59, Porterville 63, Delano 66

Record Temperatures: 96/34. Average Temperatures: 73/47

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 9 -1

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for April so far: 62.4 +4.0

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 9.22 season. or -.92. Month to Date: .14 -.28

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  5.90, or +.08.  Month to Date: .01 -.24

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

 

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

 

Sunrise: 6:28 am  Sunset: 7:32 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:00

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  70 /  42 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  67 /  48 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  70 /  42 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  72 /  40 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  72 /  50 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  67 /  43 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1655 /  70 /  44 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  68 /  42 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  71 /  52 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  70 /  54 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                         T   15.68   124    8.77    70    12.61    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   12.03   104    7.57    66    11.53    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   11.84   109    6.75    62    10.90    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    9.75    93    6.95    66    10.47    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    9.22    91    6.40    63    10.14    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    7.49    85    4.51    51     8.81    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.90   101    3.86    66     5.82     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    7.55   181    1.13    27     4.18     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   12.25   105    6.74    58    11.71    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.00   118    9.56    81    11.83    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   14.47   112    5.72    44    12.91    13.95

Next report:  Saturday morning/April 13