Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

June 3, 2019/report

June 3, 2019

Summary: Finally, after a very unusual May and early June, the weather pattern will resemble something more typical.  The upper low which resulted in widely scattered thunderstorms over the valley floor yesterday has weakened further and is moving on its way southward into southern California.  Yesterday evening, Coalinga recorded 1.23 inches of rain in a short amount of time and isolated cells drifted into Kern County where Bakersfield recorded just under .25.

 

That was then.  This is now.  Only isolated storms will pop up over the Sierra today and Tuesday during the afternoons and evenings.  There is little indication that any activity will drift over the valley floor as the winds aloft are now out of the north/northeast.  The low will finally move into Arizona Tuesday, allowing a temporary ridge of upper level high pressure to  build in from the west.  We should actually see temperatures around the century mark Wednesday and even push the 100 degree mark Thursday.

 

This little spike of summer weather will  not last long, however, as a cold low will drop out of the Gulf of Alaska and into western Canada Wednesday night and Thursday.  This system will form a trough down into northern and central California, rapidly deepening the marine layer and causing it to surge inland Wednesday night and Thursday for increased wind conditions and temperatures dipping back into the mid to upper 80s Friday and Saturday.  By early next week, the next ridge of upper level high pressure will begin to build in from the west, possibly pushing temperatures near the century mark again by Tuesday.

 

Medium range models show nothing unusual as fairly typical June weather will continue.  The two week model favors somewhat above average temperatures will generally a dry, southwesterly flow which is typical for early summer.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday and warmer.  Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 91/64/97/67/99 Reedley 91/63/97/66/100 Dinuba 90/63/97/67/98
Porterville 92/63/97/66/100 Lindsay 91/63/97/65/99 Delano 92/67/97/68/100
Bakersfield 91/70/98/73/101 Taft 92/72/98/73/99 Arvin 93/67/98/71/101
Lamont 92/67/98/70/100 Pixley 91/65/97/67/99 Tulare 90/63/96/66/98
Woodlake 91/64/97/66/99 Hanford 92/65/96/68/99 Orosi 90/63/97/66/98

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Thursday

Mostly clear

66/93

Friday

Mostly clear

56/86

Saturday

Mostly clear

54/84

Sunday

Mostly clear

56/90

Monday

Mostly clear

63/96

 

Two Week Outlook: June 10 through June 16:  This model is showing a stronger ridge of upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific and western U.S.  As a result, above average temperatures can be expected with little, to any, chance of precipitation.

 

June: The first month of meteorological summer indicates temperatures will only be marginally above average over northern and central California.  In other words, patterns for early summer should be fairly typical.  The usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

June, July, August: If this model has any grip at all on the pattern for summer of 2019, it is the fact that it will be a hot one, even hotter than usual.  As a more persistent ridge remains over the west and lower pressure over the middle of the country the usual generally dry conditions will prevail.

 

Winds:  Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH through Wednesday with periods of near calm conditions during the night and morning hours.  Winds during the afternoon and evening will be mainly out of the northwest. Winds will increase out of the west and eventually northwest at 10 to 20 MPH Wednesday night and Thursday with stronger gusts possible along the west side and mainly from Fresno County north.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next seven to ten days.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Mid to upper 50s. Humidity values ranging from 30%/75% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 30%/65%

Actual Humidity June 2, 2019: Delano, 82%/33% Porterville, 83%/26%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.55, Parlier 1.46, Blackwell 1.70, Lindcove .NA, Arvin 1.70, Orange Cove 1.48, Porterville 1.49, Delano 1.52. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier 72, Blackwell 77, Lindcove, 71, Arvin, 73, Orange Cove 71, Porterville 75, Delano 76

Record Temperatures: 107/44. Average Temperatures: 89/58

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 217 +14

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 76.8 +4.8

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.73.  Month to Date: .02 -.02

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.52.  Month to Date: .23 +.22

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:41 am  Sunset: 8:14 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:30

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  93 /  61 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  91 /  67 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  92 /  64 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1600 /  89 /  62 /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  93 /  58 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /  89 /  68 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.69    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   105    8.17    64    12.73    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   110    7.06    58    12.10    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    99    7.22    62    11.59    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   107    6.73    61    11.12    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    97    4.70    48     9.76    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.57   121    3.95    63     6.28     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.45   187    1.49    33     4.51     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   110    7.15    57    12.55    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.43    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.72    13.95

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Next report:  Tuesday, June 4