June 22, 2019
Summary: The trough of low pressure which resulted in a strong push of modified marine air into the valley has now moved into the Rocky Mountain region. Winds at Traverse Air Force Base in the Delta are southwest at just 6 MPH, meaning the flow of cooler air into the valley is over for a time. The marine layer itself has shrunk back to 1,500 feet.
Upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific is beginning to nose into northern and central California. This will result in noticeably warmer weather today with readings peaking out at or just above the 100 degree mark tomorrow and Monday. Fortunately, the center of the high will remain off shore, meaning no excessively hot temperatures are expected.
By Monday night, the high will begin to flatten out over northern California in response to a low moving out of the Gulf of Alaska. It will eventually be off the Oregon coast Wednesday then will move into the Pacific Northwest with a trough of low pressure stretching down into northern and central California. There will be a dry southwest flow aloft underneath the low and into central California. At the surface, a strong push of marine air inland will occur beginning Tuesday with very mild weather Wednesday through Friday of next week.
By next weekend, a flat zone of high pressure will move in from the west, nudging temperatures back up to near seasonal levels. There is definitely a trend developing on upper level high pressure developing over the Four Corners region during the first few days of July. Typically, this pattern results in hot weather for central California, but currently it appears the so far non existent monsoon this season will be suppressed to our south.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Wednesday. Continued to be mostly clear Wednesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
Madera 93/61/99/64/100 | Reedley 95/62/99/65/100 | Dinuba 93/60/97/64/99 | |
Porterville 94/64/100/66/101 | Lindsay 94/62/98/65/101 | Delano 95/66/100/67/101 | |
Bakersfield 95/68/101/71/102 | Taft 95/71/100/74/101 | Arvin 95/65/100/68/101 | |
Lamont 95/65/100/68/101 | Pixley 93/62/98/64/100 | Tulare 92/61/98/64/99 | |
Woodlake 93/62/97/64/100 | Hanford 95/62/99/65/101 | Orosi 92/62/98/64/100 |
Seven Day Forecast:
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/96 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 59/89 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 56/87 |
Friday
Mostly clear 57/88 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 61/95 |
Two Week Outlook: June 28 through July 4: This model shows the possibility of high pressure building over the Four Corners region. If this happens, we may see fairly hot weather during this time frame with no chance of precipitation.
July: July, of course, is typically hot and if this model has any credence, it will be hotter than average. With a dominant Four Corners high and a trough over the middle of the country, usual July dry conditions will prevail.
July, August, September: This model is indicating that the western U.S., including California, will experience above average temperatures overall during the mid to late summer period. Precipitation is expected to be near average, which, of course, is very little and there’s no reason to believe otherwise.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 15 MPH afternoons and evenings through Monday and mainly out of the northwest. During the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Tuesday will be mainly out of the west to northwest at 10 to 15 MPH with possible gusts to 25 MPH, mainly along the west side.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/70% at Hanford. Bakersfield 20%/55%
Actual Humidity June 21, 2019: Delano, 71%/24% Porterville, 79%/22%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100% Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.99, Parlier 1.96, Blackwell 2.21, Arvin 2.16, Orange Cove 2.05, Porterville 2.02, Delano 1.97. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 77, Blackwell 87, Lindcove, 77, Arvin, 79, Orange Cove 80, Porterville 86, Delano 83
Record Temperatures: 109/49. Average Temperatures: 94/62
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 508 +134
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for June so far: 79.7 +6.0
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.56. Month to Date: .00 -.19
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 7.80, or +1.46. Month to Date: .23 +.16
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 5:41 am Sunset: 8:21 pm. Hours of Daylight: 14:40
Yesterday’s Weather:
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 88 / 63 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 89 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 88 / 57 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / 88 / 64 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 86 / 59 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1656 / 86 / 59 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 88 / 59 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1653 / 87 / 64 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 86 / 57 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr Season % L.Y. % Ave. Ave. yearly total
STOCKTON 0.00 18.37 134 9.22 67 13.75 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 13.35 104 8.17 64 12.81 13.11
MERCED 0.00 13.27 109 7.06 58 12.19 12.50
MADERA 0.00 11.42 98 7.22 62 11.71 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 11.85 105 6.73 60 11.29 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 9.50 96 4.70 48 9.88 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 7.80 123 3.95 62 6.34 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 8.47 183 1.49 32 4.64 5.18
SALINAS T 13.80 109 7.15 57 12.62 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 14.88 120 9.62 77 12.45 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 15.68 114 6.01 44 13.75 13.95
Next report: Monday, June 24