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Forecast

June 28, 2019/report

June 28, 2019

Summary: Most ag stations this morning are reporting low to mid 50s as of 6:00am.  Sanger was the coolest at 51 degrees, which is an unusually refreshing start, considering this is the end of June.  The big trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest will begin to weaken today, allowing temperatures to begin to slowly inch upward over the weekend.  By Sunday, readings will be fairly close to seasonal averages as temperatures will move into the mid 90s.

 

That trough of low pressure to our north will remain over the Pacific Northwest and to a lesser extent northern and central California through the weekend, preventing temperatures from rising to above average until about the middle of next week.

 

In the meantime, tropical storm Alvin, which is located several hundred miles west of Cabo San Lucas, is spinning off a considerable amount of high and mid level clouds.  They will begin streaming over southern California later today with most of the moisture moving into the Desert Southwest.  For now, the southwesterly flow aloft will keep this cloud cover to the south of the Kern County mountains.

 

Satellite imagery also depicts a band of high clouds moving into north central California from about Merced north.  These high clouds have been inching southward overnight and may become visible as the day wears on.

 

Overall, however, mostly clear skies will prevail for the foreseeable future.  By Tuesday, a high center will be developing off the southern California coast then will expand northward as we move into the Fourth of July weekend.  By the Fourth, temperatures will be nearing the century mark and will remain in that range through the holiday weekend.  The two week model for the following week shows a trough along the west coast, resulting in somewhat below average temperatures.

 

Forecast: Other than some high clouds at times, mainly from Fresno County north, it will be  mostly clear through tonight.  Mostly clear Saturday and on through Friday of next week.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 88/55/90/58/94 Reedley 88/55/91/58/93 Dinuba 87/54/90/57/93
Porterville 89/56/91/58/94 Lindsay 88/54/90/58/93 Delano 90/59/91/61/95
Bakersfield 90/62/92/65/95 Taft 90/66/93/68/95 Arvin 91/59/93/62/95
Lamont 90/59/93/63/95 Pixley 89/56/91/58/94 Tulare 87/55/90/58/93
Woodlake 88/55/90/58/94 Hanford 88/55/90/58/94 Orosi 88/54/90/58/93

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Mostly clear

59/95

Tuesday

Mostly clear

62/96

Wednesday

Mostly clear

63/98

Thursday

Mostly clear

66/100

Friday

Mostly clear

66/99

 

Two Week Outlook: July 4 through July 10:  This model indicates a continuation of a trough of low pressure over mainly the Pacific Northwest but down into northern California.  This creates a rather strong on shore flow, allowing marine air into the valley from time to time for at least marginally below average temperatures.  A southwest flow aloft will continue for dry conditions.

 

 

July: July, of course, is typically hot and if this model has any credence, it will be hotter than average.  With a dominant Four Corners high and a trough over the middle of the country, usual July dry conditions will prevail.

 

July, August, September: This model is indicating that the western U.S., including California, will experience above average temperatures overall during the mid to late summer period.  Precipitation is expected to be near average, which, of course, is very little and there’s no reason to believe otherwise.

 

Winds:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH through this evening with local gusts to 25 MPH, mainly along the west side.  Winds Saturday through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 15 MPH afternoons and evenings and 5 to 10 MPH during the later night and morning hours.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Mid to upper 40s. Humidity values ranging from 25%/75% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 20%/55%

Actual Humidity June 27, 2019: Delano, 76%/36% Porterville, 83%/28%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 80%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.05, Parlier 2.00, Blackwell 2.10, Arvin 2.08, Orange Cove 2.12, Porterville 2.00, Delano 1.97. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 78, Blackwell 82, Lindcove, 77, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 86, Delano 80

Record Temperatures: 108/51. Average Temperatures: 95/63

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 582 +140

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 79.2 +4.9

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.54.  Month to Date: .00 -.21

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.45.  Month to Date: .23 +.15

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:43 am  Sunset: 8:22 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:39

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  83 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  84 /  60 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  85 /  59 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  84 /  58 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  84 /  60 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  85 /  56 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1633 /  81 /  58 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  85 /  56 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1657 /  81 /  62 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   104    8.17    64    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    97    7.22    62    11.72    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   105    6.73    60    11.31    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    96    4.70    48     9.89    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   123    3.95    62     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.47   181    1.49    32     4.68     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   109    7.15    57    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.76    13.95

Next report:  Saturday, June 29