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July 2, 2019/report

July 2, 2019

Summary: Considering this is the first week in July, temperatures continue to be very comfortable.  Most ag stations this morning are all the way down into the low to mid 50s. Sanger was reporting 51 degrees and Madera North all the way down to 49. Rather refreshing for this time of year.

 

The mild weather will continue for the remainder of the work week as low pressure is centered near Portland, Oregon this  morning and will enhance a trough southward into northern and central California Wednesday and Thursday.  This will keep a dry, westerly flow aloft going and will continue the decent onshore flow, allowing Pacific modified marine air to flow into the valley from time to time.  This will keep temperatures marginally below average for this time of year.

 

That will slowly begin to change over the weekend as upper level high pressure now centered off the central Baja coast begins to expand slowly northward, cutting off the flow of marine air and moving warmer air in aloft.  Readings over the weekend, especially Sunday, will push the century mark.  Some  models are suggesting a large high will develop over the Desert Southwest then a ridge will build from the high into the Pacific Northwest.  If this occurs, hot weather would begin about the middle of next week with above average temperatures continuing through the following weekend.  Some models do not show this occurring, so for now we’ll keep triple digits out of the forecast, although the new two week model is also spitting out hot weather projections for central California.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Friday.  Mostly clear Saturday through Tuesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 92/55/90/54/91 Reedley 93/55/91/56/92 Dinuba 92/54/91/54/92
Porterville 93/55/91/55/92 Lindsay 92/53/91/53/92 Delano 93/57/91/57/92
Bakersfield 93/63/92/63/93 Taft 94/67/92/64/93 Arvin 94/58/93/58/93
Lamont 94/60/92/59/92 Pixley 93/56/91/55/92 Tulare 91/54/91/54/92
Woodlake 92/55/91/55/92 Hanford 92/56/92/56/92 Orosi 91/53/91/53/92

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Friday

Mostly clear

57/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

62/99

Sunday

Mostly clear

64/100

Monday

Mostly clear

61/98

Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/97

 

Two Week Outlook: July 9 through July 15:  The trend the past couple of model runs is for dominant high pressure over the western one-third of the U.S.  This will result in above average temperatures during this time frame with the usual dry conditions continuing.

 

 

July: July, of course, is typically hot and if this model has any credence, it will be hotter than average.  With a dominant Four Corners high and a trough over the middle of the country, usual July dry conditions will prevail.

 

July, August, September: This model is indicating that the western U.S., including California, will experience above average temperatures overall during the mid to late summer period.  Precipitation is expected to be near average, which, of course, is very little and there’s no reason to believe otherwise.

 

Winds:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 8 to 15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH possible.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally out of the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH with stronger gusts through Friday.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/75% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity July 1, 2019: Delano, 75%/25% Porterville, 80%/17%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.07, Parlier 1.99, Blackwell 2.01, Arvin 2.06, Orange Cove 2.13, Porterville 1.96, Delano 1.95. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 77, Blackwell 80, Lindcove, 75, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 80, Porterville 86, Delano 81

Record Temperatures: 110/51. Average Temperatures: 96/64

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 628 +135

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for July so far: 78.0 +0.0

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.54.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.45.  Month to Date: .00 +.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:44 am  Sunset: 8:22 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:38

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  93 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  94 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  94 /  62 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  95 /  58 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  93 /  65 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1600 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /  88 /  62 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1600 /  93 /  57 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1700 /  92 /  68 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  92 /  59 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   104    8.17    64    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    97    7.22    62    11.73    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   105    6.73    60    11.31    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    96    4.70    48     9.89    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   123    3.95    62     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.47   181    1.49    32     4.69     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   109    7.15    57    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.76    13.95

Next report:  Wednesday, July 3