August 12, 2019
Summary: After a respite from the summer heat over the weekend, upper level high pressure which had been centered over Texas is building westward towards the west coast. It will eventually connect with another high off the southern California coast. Today will be the first day of a warming trend which will result in above average temperatures beginning Tuesday as our numbers once again will top the century mark. I don’t anticipate excessive heat, but warmer locations Wednesday and Thursday could top out near 103 to 104. The marine layer is shrinking back to the point where that modified sea breeze is no longer penetrating through the delta. With higher pressures aloft, temperatures this afternoon should end up in the low to possibly mid 90s at the warmer locations.
Just as quickly as the warming trend commences, a new cooling trend will be on the horizon. On Thursday night and Friday, a low will develop over the Pacific Northwest, digging a trough down into northern California. The typical summertime bouncing up and down of the marine layer will again allow the modified sea breeze to move through the Delta and other gaps and passes along the Coast Range, causing temperatures to sink several degrees below average Friday and lasting through the weekend.
Forecast: Clear skies with a warming trend through Thursday. Mostly clear with a cooling trend Thursday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 94/61/99/65/100 | Reedley 94/62/98/66/101 | Dinuba 93/61/98/65/99 |
| Porterville 94/62/100/66/101 | Lindsay 94/61/99/65/101 | Delano 94/64/99/67/102 |
| Bakersfield 94/69/100/71/102 | Taft 96/71/100/73/101 | Arvin 95/64/100/67/102 |
| Lamont 94/67/100/68/103 | Pixley 94/63/100/66/102 | Tulare 93/62/99/65/100 |
| Woodlake 93/63/99/66/100 | Hanford 94/63/99/67/101 | Orosi 93/61/98/65/100 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Thursday
Mostly clear 66/102 |
Friday
Mostly clear 63/95 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 61/93 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 59/92 |
Monday
Mostly clear 63/96 |
Two Week Outlook: August 17 through August 23: This model is projecting the triumphant return of our Four corners high, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. There will be a small chance of thunderstorms over the high Sierra, but the rest of central California will remain dry.
August: This model projects fairly persistent upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest. The monsoon shows up, as it typically does this time of year, but it generally produces little to no precipitation over the valley. The bottom line, temperatures will be marginally above average with typically dry conditions.
August, September, October: The 90 day outlook doesn’t really give strong indicators one way or the other. As far as precipitation is concerned, this model is projecting near average totals for the next three months. This model also projects above average temperatures for much of the western U.S.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH afternoons and evenings through Thursday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally 5 to 12 MPH with possible periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next week to ten days.
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Next report: Tuesday, August 13