August 14, 2019
Summary: Strong upper level high pressure is centered near the Arizona/New Mexico border and continues to expand towards the west coast. The freezing level this morning is at 16,000 feet with a paltry marine layer crushed down to 500 feet. The 6:00am observation at Pacheco Pass was quite interesting. Winds were light with a temperature of 79 degrees.
By Thursday, the high’s center will be over southwest Arizona and southern California, driving temperatures into the 104 to 108 degree range. Friday will be just a tad cooler as the high begins to drift to the southwest, eventually settling in the waters west of Baja. This will allow a weak trough of low pressure to become established along the west coast. A dry southwesterly flow aloft will be prevalent during the entire forecast period as the monsoon continues to be suppressed into Mexico.
The weather will again turn hot by Tuesday of next week as upper level high pressure builds over the Four Corners region and again begins to expand westward into California.
Forecast: Clear skies and hot conditions through Friday. Clear with a cooling trend Saturday through Sunday. Mostly clear Monday through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 103/67/106/68/104 | Reedley 104/66/106/68/103 | Dinuba 102/66/105/67/102 |
| Porterville 105/67/107/69/104 | Lindsay 104/65/107/67/104 | Delano 104/69/107/68/105 |
| Bakersfield 105/76/107/77/105 | Taft 104/78/106/79/105 | Arvin 105/71/108/74/106 |
| Lamont 105/71/108/74/105 | Pixley 104/68/106/69/104 | Tulare 103/66/106/67/103 |
| Woodlake 103/66/105/67/102 | Hanford 104/68/107/69/104 | Orosi 103/66/106/68/103 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Saturday
Mostly clear 64/100 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 61/94 |
Monday
Mostly clear 60/93 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/100 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/102 |
Two Week Outlook: August 20 through August 26: Upper level high pressure will be persistent over the Desert Southwest and California. Generally speaking, a dry, southwesterly flow will continue but it is possible the monsoon could affect the Sierra Nevada later in the period. Temperatures will remain above average.
August: This model projects fairly persistent upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest. The monsoon shows up, as it typically does this time of year, but it generally produces little to no precipitation over the valley. The bottom line, temperatures will be marginally above average with typically dry conditions.
August, September, October: The 90 day outlook doesn’t really give strong indicators one way or the other. As far as precipitation is concerned, this model is projecting near average totals for the next three months. This model also projects above average temperatures for much of the western U.S.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH afternoons and evenings through Friday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally 5 to 12 MPH with possible periods of near calm conditions. Winds Saturday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 15 MPH with local gusts to near 25, mainly along the west side.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next week to ten days.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/55% at Hanford. Bakersfield 15%/45%
Actual Humidity range August 13, 2019: Delano, 82%/25% Porterville, 59%/13%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100% Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.86, Parlier 1.86, Blackwell 1.93, Arvin 1.99, Orange Cove 2.03, Porterville 1.90, Delano 1.83. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 80, Blackwell 90, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 80, Porterville 91, Delano 82
Record Temperatures: 112/54. Average Temperatures: 98/64
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1355 +252
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for August so far: 81.5 +2.3
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.53. Month to Date: .00 -.00
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 7.80, or +1.44. Month to Date: .00 -.01
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:16 am Sunset: 7:50 pm. Hours of Daylight: 13:37
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 100 / 63 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 101 / 71 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 102 / 62 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 101 / 60 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 98 / 71 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DHM / M / M / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1657 / 98 / 75 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 66 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr Season % L.Y. % Ave. Ave. yearly total
STOCKTON 0.00 18.37 134 9.22 67 13.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 13.35 104 8.17 64 12.84 13.11
MERCED 0.00 13.27 109 7.06 58 12.20 12.50
MADERA 0.00 11.42 97 7.22 61 11.75 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 11.85 105 6.73 59 11.32 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 9.50 96 4.70 47 9.91 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 7.80 123 3.95 62 6.36 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 8.47 173 3.02 62 4.90 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 13.80 109 7.16 57 12.64 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 14.88 119 9.62 77 12.48 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 15.68 114 6.01 44 13.79 13.95
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Next report: Thursday, August 15