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Forecast

November 4, 2019/pm update

November 4, 2019

Summary: Temperatures this afternoon are running about 2 to 3 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago.  As of 1:00pm, readings were already in the mid 70s so the warmest locations will no doubt reach the 80 degree mark.  Dew points are roughly the same, generally in the low to mid 30s north of Kern County and in the mid to upper 20s in Kern County. So even though daytime highs will run 8 to 10 degrees above average, strong radiational cooling will allow temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s with warmest frost stations in the lower 40s.

 

In the big picture, same ol’, same ol’.  Upper level high pressure blankets the eastern Pacific and the western one-fourth of the United Stated with a ridge extending northward into the Gulf of Alaska.  Very little day to day change will occur from this point on with warm afternoons and chilly nights for the remainder of the week and well into next week.  At the surface, a weak off shore flow will continue which aids in the warmer than average daytime highs.

 

One model was indicating an interesting pattern for later this morning.  The high is projected to shift further off shore as a cold trough digs southward into the United States. If this occurs at all, it would more than likely be dry, but could bring a cold weather episode to central California.  For now, it just shows up on one model, and it’s a long way off, but it’s certainly worth monitoring.

 

Forecast: Clear skies through Thursday.  Clear skies will continue Thursday night through Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 36/80/37/80 Reedley 35/79/37/80 Dinuba 34/78/36/79
Porterville 36/80/37/81 Lindsay 35/79/37/80 Delano 38/81/38/81
Bakersfield 51/81/52/82 Taft 54/80/54/81 Arvin 41/81/41/82
Lamont 39/81/39/81 Pixley 36/80/37/81 Tulare 35/79/36/80
Woodlake 35/79/36/79 Hanford 37/80/38/81 Orosi 35/79/37/80

 

Winds: Winds will continue to be at or less than 8 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost Discussion:  All locations will be above freezing for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Next report: Tuesday morning/November 5