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Forecast

March 29, 2020/report

March 29, 2020

Summary: Light showers continue this morning, mainly north of Kern County, and will continue for the remainder of the day.  A relatively cold trough of low pressure is moving across central California.  The main body of low pressure will be just to the east of the Sierra Nevada this evening, allowing dry weather to return tonight.  upslope clouds will be prevalent, mainly in the south valley, tonight and Monday morning, due to a west/northwest push of air behind the low.  However, by and large, Monday will be a transition day from the cold, unsettled pattern of the last few weeks into a dry pattern which will result in above average temperatures.  A zone of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific Ocean across California and into the interior western U.S. through Friday.  The flow aloft will be generally out of the west during the upcoming week as the main storm track rides over the top of the high and into Washington and Oregon.

 

By the late part of this coming weekend, some models project a sharp ridge will build northward into western Canada with a cold trough possibly forming over the interior western U.S.  Whatever the model solution, no precipitation will develop for at least the next week to possibly ten days.  The bottom line is, the first part of the month of April will be pleasant.

 

Forecast: Periods of light showers today, mainly north of Kern County.  Partly to mostly cloudy tonight and Monday morning.  mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Monday afternoon through Friday.  Mostly clear Friday night through Sunday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 63/42/69/43/71 Reedley 64/42/68/44/72 Dinuba 63/41/68/43/70
Porterville 64/42/69/45/72 Lindsay 64/41/68/44/71 Delano 65/44/69/45/71
Bakersfield 65/47/69/48/72 Taft 64/47/70/47/72 Arvin 65/45/70/46/72
Lamont 65/42/69/45/71 Pixley 64/42/69/45/71 Tulare 63/41/67/45/70
Woodlake 64/41/69/44/71 Hanford 65/43/69/46/72 Orosi 63/41/69/44/71

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Wednesday

Mostly clear

43/72

Thursday

Mostly clear

45/77

Friday

Mostly clear

47/77

Saturday

Mostly clear

48/78

Sunday

Mostly clear

48/80

 

Two Week Outlook: April 4 through April 10:  This model brings a higher than average chance of active weather back to California for a reasonably decent chance of rain.  This model also indicates this will be a mild pattern with temperatures generally somewhat above average.

 

April:  Typically, these models really do not offer a good handle on a weather direction.  This particular model is even muddier than most.  It simply indicates near average temperatures with near average rain over the next 30 days.

 

April, May, June:  Like most longer range forecasts, above average temperatures are indicated over the next 90 days for most of the lower 48, including central California.  This  model gives equal chances of above or below average precipitation, but considering we are now into the dry season, it’s pretty much a moot point anyway.

 

Winds Discussion: Winds will be variable to 12 MPH today.  Winds tonight through Wednesday will be generally at or less than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions, mainly during the night and  morning hours.

 

Rain Discussion:  The following is a list of storm totals as of 6:30 this  morning:  Porterville, Kettleman Hills, Reedley, and Fresno have reported .05, Madera .02, Tulare .07, Visalia .09, Hanford .16, Lemoore .20, Parlier .04, Westland .07, Kern County locations all reported just trace amounts.  A spattering of light showers will continue for the remainder of the day, ending during the early evening hours.

 

Less than .10 can be anticipated today with most locations picking up trace amounts to just a few hundredths.  Dry weather will begin this evening and continue for the remainder of the upcoming week.

 

Frost Discussion: All locations will be above 32 degrees.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s.  Kern, low to mid 40s.  Humidity values ranging from 55%/100% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 50%/95%

Actual Humidity range March 29, 2020: Delano, 96%/48%, Porterville, 94%/44%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 10%, tomorrow 70%.  Bakersfield: Today: 10% Tomorrow: 60%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .81, Parlier .73, Blackwell Corner .NA, Arvin .84, Orange Cove .71, Porterville .77, Delano .86. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 58, Blackwell 58, Arvin, 59, Orange Cove 58, Porterville 59, Delano 57

Record Temperatures: 87/32. Average Temperatures: 70/44

Heating Degree Days this Season: 2014 -415

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for March so far: 54.5. -0.8

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average + or -5.81 or -3.76.  Month to Date: 2.27 +.39

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  4.41, or -1.07.  Month to Date: 1.57 +.45

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove 967,  Parlier 1035,  Arvin 831, Shafter 885, Stratford 938, Delano 1013, Lindcove 1171, Porterville 1531

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:47, Sunset: 7:20 pm. Hours of Daylight:  12:31

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  61 /  42 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  62 /  38 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  63 /  43 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  63 /  41 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  64 /  38 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  63 /  40 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  64 /  40 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1651 /  61 /  42 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  64 /  36 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  62 /  46 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.05    7.11    59   15.20   127    12.01    14.06

MODESTO                          T    5.70    52   11.91   109    10.97    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    7.76    75   11.82   114    10.37    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    4.41    44    9.65    97     9.97    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    5.81    61    9.08    95     9.57    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    5.20    62    7.38    88     8.41    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    4.41    80    5.89   107     5.48     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    1.73    43    7.55   188     4.01     5.18

SALINAS                          T    7.87    71   12.01   108    11.09    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    9.74    86   14.00   124    11.33    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    8.60    70   14.47   118    12.24    13.95

 

Next report: March 30/morning