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Forecast

July 22, 2020/report

July 22, 2020

Summary:  Expect marginally cooler weather today and Thursday.  This is due to a benign upper low centered just to the southwest of the Golden Gate this  morning.  already, the marine layer along the coast has deepened from near 1,800 feet yesterday to just under 3,000 feet this morning.  the combination of the modified marine air and marginally lower pressures aloft will cause readings to drop into the mid 90s today and Thursday.

 

Over the weekend, upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest will expand a bit to the west and temperatures will warm a bit each day beginning Friday.  By early next week, most locations should top out in the lower 100 range. There is still no real indication of  visit from the monsoon.  Winds aloft will remain essentially weak and out of the southwest.

 

Forecast:  Clear skies through Saturday.  Mostly clear Saturday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 94/58/93/57/96 Reedley 96/59/94/58/96 Dinuba 94/58/94/57/95
Porterville 96/59/95/59/97 Lindsay 96/58/94/57/96 Delano 97/60/94/61/97
Bakersfield 97/56/95/68/97 Taft 96/69/94/68/97 Arvin 98/63/95/62/97
Lamont 98/63/95/65/98 Pixley 96/59/94/58/96 Tulare 95/58/94/57/95
Woodlake 95/58/94/57/96 Hanford 96/59/94/60/97 Orosi 95/58/94/58/96

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/98

Sunday

Mostly clear

64/99

Monday

Mostly clear

65/101

Tuesday

Mostly clear

66/102

Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/101

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 28 through August 2:  This model is indicating California will be sandwiched between low pressure over the Pacific Northwest and upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest.  Typically, this results in a dry southwesterly flow and near average temperatures.

 

July:  This model indicates warmer than average temperatures over the next four weeks.  The usual dry pattern will prevail in the San Joaquin Valley with the chance of precipitation on any given day being almost nil.  Average precipitation for the month is .01.

 

July, August, September:  This time of year, the 90 day out look is no secret.  July and August will be hot and dry while September has a minor risk of precipitation, mainly from the tropics.  This out look appears fairly typical.  Marginally above average temperatures are expected with near average precipitation, which is a meaningless projection.

 

Winds Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH with locally stronger gusts through Thursday.  Local gusts to near 25 MPH are possible along the west side, especially along the Interstate 5 corridor.  Winds Friday through Saturday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and light and variable during the night and morning hours with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s.. Humidity values ranging from 25%/85% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 20%/60%

Actual Humidity range July 21, 2020: Delano, 95%/28%, Porterville, 87%/23%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 90%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.02, Parlier 1.92, Blackwell Corner 2.28, Arvin 2.22, Orange Cove 2.08, Porterville 2.01, Delano 1.88. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 78, Parlier 81, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 82, Orange Cove 86, Porterville 84, Delano 77

Record Temperatures: 112/56. Average Temperatures: 99/65

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 988 +214

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for July so far: 80.9 +1.9

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .00 -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.85.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:58, Sunset: 8:12 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:15

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  95 /  63 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  94 /  61 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  95 /  71 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  95 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  99 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /  99 /  70 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  95 /  65 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  96 /  65 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   123     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    47    8.47   177     4.79     5.18

SALINAS                          M       M     M       M     M        M    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.78    13.95

 

 

Next report: July 23/morning