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Forecast

August 1, 2020/report

August 1, 2020

Summary:  The strong upper high over Arizona has moved slightly towards the west.  It is now centered over the Colorado River Valley.  Central California will remain over the northwest flank of this high through Monday.  Triple digits will continue to be widespread through Monday while torrid heat continues to bake southern California.

 

Tuesday will be a transition day as the southwestern high flattens out and a weak low moves into northern California.  The high will slowly be suppressed southward as a low moves inland at midweek.  With a little luck we could see double digits as early as Tuesday.  The low will morph into a trough remaining over California, maintaining a decent flow of modified marine air into the valley.  Low to mid 90s will be commonplace Wednesday through Saturday.  the flow in the upper atmosphere will remain out of the southwest, allowing the air mass to remain very dry with cloudless blue skies.

 

Forecast:  Clear and hot through Monday.  Clear and cooler Tuesday through Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 101/64/101/63/100 Reedley 102/62/101/62/101 Dinuba 100/62/100/62/99
Porterville 102/63/102/61/101 Lindsay 101/61/101/61/100 Delano 103/65/103/65/101
Bakersfield 104/72/104/73/102 Taft 102/74/102/74/101 Arvin 104/66/104/66/102
Lamont 103/68/103/69/102 Pixley 102/64/102/64/102 Tulare 101/62/101/62/100
Woodlake 101/64/101/63/100 Hanford 103/65/102/65/101 Orosi 101/63/101/63/99

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

60/98

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/94

Thursday

Mostly clear

56/92

Friday

Mostly clear

57/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/97

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 6 through August 12:  This model is indicating a weak trough of low pressure will be dominant along the west coast, resulting in near to marginally below average temperatures.  A dry southwesterly flow will continue.

 

August:  Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness.  This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.

 

August, September, October:  Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California.  This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.

 

Winds Discussion: Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH with stronger gusts, mainly along the west side.  Winds Sunday through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 MPH, becoming light and variable during the overnight hours.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/70% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 12%/50%

Actual Humidity range July 31, 2020: Delano, 92%/28%, Porterville, 82%/24%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.13, Parlier 1.97, Blackwell Corner 2.17, Arvin 2.19, Orange Cove 2.15, Porterville 2.01, Delano 1.87. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 82, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 86, Porterville 82, Delano 77

Record Temperatures: 112/56. Average Temperatures: 99/65

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1163 +243

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for July so far: 81.4 +2.2

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .00 -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.85.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:06, Sunset: 8:04 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:00

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  98 /  61 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 100 /  59 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 102 /  70 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 101 /  65 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 102 /  60 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 100 /  73 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  99 /  63 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 101 /  64 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  96 /  63 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   123     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    46    8.47   175     4.85     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.79    13.95

 

Next report: August 3/morning