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Forecast

August 8,2020/report

August 8, 2020

Summary: The summer doldrums have really set in.  there is just not a whole lot to talk about.  A very weak upper low has now drifted to off the California coast while upper level high pressure stretches from Texas to southern California.  The marine which had pooled the valley has mixed out.  As a result, temperatures this morning are 3 to 5 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time.  The marine layer has shrunk back to 1,700 feet.  Winds are fairly light in the Delta.  Central California will again end up on the northwest periphery of the southwestern high.  Temperatures will slowly warm with hottest locations today through Monday warming into the lower 100s.  a minor cooling trend will occur Wednesday and Thursday due to a weak trough moving into northern California.  Even so, readings will still be seasonal.  A couple of models are showing a minimal amount of monsoon moisture working its way into southern California about Friday of next week, but for now it appears central California will remain under a dry southwesterly flow aloft.

 

Forecast:  Clear skies through Wednesday.  Clear skies Wednesday night through Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 97/63/100/64/100 Reedley 98/63/101/64/101 Dinuba 96/63/99/64/100
Porterville 98/64/101/66/101 Lindsay 97/63/100/64/100 Delano 98/68/100/69/101
Bakersfield 98/74/102/74/102 Taft 97/74/100/76/100 Arvin 98/66/102/69/102
Lamont 99/68/103/70/102 Pixley 98/66/100/67/101 Tulare 97/63/99/64/100
Woodlake 97/65/100/66/100 Hanford 98/65/101/66/101 Orosi 96/63/99/65/100

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

65/99

Wednesday

Mostly clear

63/97

Thursday

Mostly clear

62/96

Friday

Mostly clear

61/97

Saturday

Mostly clear

62/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 15 through August 21:  This model indicates upper level high pressure over the desert southwest will be the more dominant feature, resulting in at least marginally above average temperatures.  The monsoon is still nowhere to be found, so dry dusty conditions will continue.

 

August:  Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness.  This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.

 

August, September, October:  Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California.  This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September, we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s. Humidity values ranging from 25%/75% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 20%/55%

Actual Humidity range August 7, 2020: Delano, 99%/32%, Porterville, 86%/31%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.92, Parlier 1.88, Blackwell Corner 2.15, Arvin 2.19, Orange Cove 2.00, Porterville 1.85, Delano 1.76. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove 85, Porterville 78, Delano 76

Record Temperatures: 113/54. Average Temperatures: 98/64

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1261 +242

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for August so far: 78.8 0.5

 

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.85.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

 

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

 

Sunrise: 6:12, Sunset: 7:56 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:47

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  94 /  60 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  94 /  67 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  93 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  96 /  60 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  94 /  69 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  92 /  62 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1655 /  95 /  64 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  93 /  61 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  91 /  60 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   123     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    46    8.47   174     4.86     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   119    12.46    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.79    13.95

 

Next report: August 10/morning