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Forecast

August 27, 2020/report

August 27, 2020

Summary:  A shallow intrusion of marine air moved down the valley overnight.  Temperatures as of 6:00am were generally 4 to 6 degrees cooler than 24 hours ago.  Dew points are anywhere from 8 to 15 degrees lower.  It will definitely be a bit more comfortable today than we’ve seen in a while.  The latest sounding at Fort Ord indicates the depth of the marine layer is just about 2,000 feet.

 

In the broad picture, strong upper level high pressure remains over the Desert Southwest and southern California where the relentless heat of the summer will continue for two more days.  Northern and central California will be the benefactors of a weak trough of low pressure.  In all likelihood, areas especially north of Kern County, will see readings no  higher than the mid 90s which is just about average for late August.

 

The weak trough currently overhead will weaken as we move into the weekend for a minor warming trend.

 

Looking ahead to next week, some models show an elongated high building from Oregon and across northern California and into Nevada.  By the middle of next week, if this pattern does set up, widespread triple digits will make their triumphant return.

 

In the tropics, we will have to watch two brand new named storms.  Tropical storm Isele and tropical storm Hernan are each projected to be near somewhere around the southern tip of Baja beginning Saturday.  for now, it appears any moisture from these storms will remain to our south, however it is something to keep an eye on.

 

Forecast:  Mostly clear skies through Sunday night. Mostly clear Monday through Thursday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 94/63/97/65/98 Reedley 95/64/97/65/98 Dinuba 94/62/96/64/97
Porterville 97/63/98/65/98 Lindsay 95/63/97/64/98 Delano 96/66/98/67/98
Bakersfield 97/73/98/73/99 Taft 97/74/9874/99 Arvin 99/67/99/68/100
Lamont 96/67/97/68/98 Pixley 95/64/97/65/98 Tulare 95/63/97/65/98
Woodlake 95/63/97/64/97 Hanford 95/64/97/65/98 Orosi 94/62/96/64/98

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Sunday

Mostly clear

63/98

Monday

Mostly clear

63/99

Tuesday

Mostly clear

64/99

Wednesday

Mostly clear

66/102

Thursday

Mostly clear

65/103

 

Two Week Outlook:  September 2 through September 8:  This model indicates a dominant ridge of high pressure will be along the west coast for, what else, above average temperatures.  The flow aloft is projected to be mainly southwesterly for dry conditions.

 

September:  This model is indicating basically the western half of the United States will have above average temperatures, continuing the trend of the summer season into the early fall.  This model shows near average precipitation, which is minimal at best anyway.

 

September, October, November:  This model always indicates above average temperatures for the western U.S. and this time around is no exception.  As we head into the autumn season this model is indicating there will be equal chances of above or below precipitation.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds through Sunday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s.

Actual Humidity range August 26, 2020: Delano, 99%/34%, Porterville, 84%/35%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.52, Parlier 1.42, Blackwell Corner 1.63, Arvin NA, Orange Cove 1.57, Porterville 1.40, Delano 1.41. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 78, Parlier 81, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 79, Delano 76

Record Temperatures: 109/51. Average Temperatures: 95/62

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1651 +380

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for August so far: 83.5 +5.0

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or -.  7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .T -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Fresno, 7.63 -3.69. 7.20, or +.84.  Bakersfield, 7.20 +.82. Month to Date: .T -.03

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:27, Sunset: 7:32 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:07

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  97 /  68 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  98 /  65 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  98 /  73 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  99 /  70 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /   M /  69 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  97 /  75 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  96 /  68 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1609 /  98 /  72 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  98 /  68 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  96 /  69 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   133    13.77    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.85    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.76    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.33    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.92    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   122     6.38     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    45    8.47   171     4.96     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.66    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.47    92   14.88   119    12.53    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.66    77   15.68   114    13.80    13.95

 

Next report: August 28/morning