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Forecast

May 10, 2021/report

May 10, 2021

Low pressure is centered over Idaho and northern Utah this morning.  upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific is slowly building into California.  The freezing level over Oakland earlier this morning was right at 14,000 feet, roughly 1,200 feet higher than yesterday at this time.  The marine layer along the coast, after mixing out over the weekend, is becoming reestablished at a depth of roughly 1,500 feet at Monterey.  Winds in the Delta this morning are light and variable so all the parameters in the world of weather are pointing towards a significant warming trend.

 

The off shore high will slowly build inland over the next 72 hours, driving temperatures into the mid to upper 90s Wednesday through Friday.  Models are indicating a low will drop southward out of the Pacific Northwest and into northern California Saturday.  this will again deepen the marine layer, allowing it to surge inland over the weekend for a nice cooling trend.

 

A temporary weak ridge of high pressure will build in Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  Over the past few days, models have been indicating a major trough of low pressure will be over and along the west coast beginning around Wednesday the 19th.  For now, we’ll keep any chance of rain out of the forecast, but at the very least it would cause temperatures to fall well above average, bucking the trend of the past few weeks.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday.  Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 91/53/94/55/97 Reedley 92/54/95/55/98 Dinuba 91/53/94/55/97
Porterville 91/53/95/55/98 Lindsay 92/52/94/55/97 Delano 91/57/94/58/98
Bakersfield 90/63/94/65/98 Taft 90/66/93/68/97 Arvin 92/60/95/62/98
Lamont 91/59/94/61/97 Pixley 92/54/95/56/98 Tulare 90/52/94/55/96
Woodlake 91/52/94/55/97 Hanford 92/55/95/57/98 Orosi 90/52/94/54/97

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Thursday

Mostly clear

58/97

Friday

Mostly clear

58/96

Saturday

Mostly clear

55/94

Sunday

Mostly clear

51/89

Monday

Mostly clear

50/86

 

Two Week Outlook:  May 17 through May 23: This model is depicting a trough of low pressure over the eastern Pacific and the western 1/3 of the US, dropping temperatures below average.  No precipitation is expected.

 

May:  The old familiar 30 day outlook indicates above average temperatures for the western US including California.  Since we’re now entering the dry season, expect precipitation to be almost nonexistent.

 

May, June, July: If you go by the guidance of this model, temperatures as we move into the summer months will be hotter than average.  Expect typically dry weather.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds during the afternoons and evenings through Thursday will be mainly out of the northwest at around 5 to 12 MPH.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next seven to ten days, at least.

 

Frost Discussion: All locations will be above 32 degrees for at least the next seven to ten days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Upper 30s to the lower 40sActual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 71%/22%  Porterville, 74%/22%

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:.  Stratford 2.13, Parlier 1.80, Arvin 1.91, Orange Cove 1.92, Porterville 1.80, Delano 1.79. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 66, Parlier 73, Arvin, 70, Orange Cove 73, Porterville 78, Delano 70.

Record Temperatures: 99/41. Average Temperatures: 81/56

Cooling Degree Days This Season:.  82 +7 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 71.2 +4.5 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.59  or -3.81 or 63% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -15

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  2.77, +or-  -3.34 or 45% of average.  Month to date  .00 or -.10

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    , Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 5:54 am   Sunset: 7:56  Hours of Daylight:  14:00

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  51 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  87 /  49 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  88 /  75 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  88 /  50 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  88 /  49 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  87 /  64 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  86 /  52 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  87 /  53 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  87 /  66 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    7.88    61    7.99    62    12.89    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    7.12    61    6.86    59    11.61    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.00    62    0.00     0    11.29    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.28    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.59    63    0.00     0    10.40    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.29    55    0.00     0     7.77     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    2.77    45    0.00     0     6.11     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    1.62    39    2.25    54     4.18     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    5.74    47    9.00    74    12.18    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    6.74    57   11.34    96    11.76    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.86    53   10.39    80    12.94    13.32

Next report: May 11/AM