Updates
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Forecast

May 26, 2021/report

May 26, 2021

The overall weather pattern is still governed by weak features.  A weak trough of low pressure extends from Montana southwestward into southern California while weak upper level high pressure governs the eastern Pacific into northern California.  Satellite imagery shows high clouds moving into southern California on a weak southwesterly flow aloft with another batch of high clouds over northern California.  Most of central California is largely clear.  This basic pattern will remain in place through the weekend.  Since there is no feature strong enough to allow marine air into the valley, temperatures will remain marginally above average.  It does appear, however, that a short period of hot weather will prevail Monday through Wednesday of next week.  Models place the center of circulation of a strong upper high just west of San Francisco Monday, moving inland Tuesday and Wednesday.  if models continue on this trend, readings will jump into the mid 90s Monday then heat into the lower 100s Tuesday and Wednesday.  typically during the month of May, 100 degree heat is short lived and that will be the case this time around as a trough of low pressure will move into the Pacific Northwest and northern California Thursday of next week, allowing a strong push of marine air to move inland along with cooler weather aloft.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Saturday.  Mostly clear Saturday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 90/53/91/54/90 Reedley 91/54/91/55/91 Dinuba 89/52/90/54/90
Porterville 91/54/91/54/91 Lindsay 90/51/91/53/90 Delano 91/55/91/55/90
Bakersfield 91/62/91/63/90 Taft 88/64/89/65/89 Arvin 92/58/92/59/91
Lamont 91/57/91/58/90 Pixley 91/52/91/53/91 Tulare 90/51/90/53/90
Woodlake 90/51/90/52/89 Hanford 91/54/91/54/91 Orosi 89/50/90/51/89

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Mostly clear

53/91

Sunday

Mostly clear

55/91

Monday

Mostly clear

58/95

Tuesday

Mostly clear

64/100

Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/103

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 2 through June 8:  This model is indicating a zone of upper level high pressure will dominate the western 1/3 of the US during this time frame, resulting in above average temperatures.  The typical dry conditions will continue.

 

June:  This model is indicating a ridge of upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the Desert Southwest and, to a lesser extent, California, resulting in above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model mimics the pattern of recent years, indicating high pressure over the Desert Southwest being the most dominant feature, resulting  in above average temperatures.  Theoretically, this pattern blocks monsoonal moisture from moving northward.  Typically, there’s little to no precipitation anyway, and that will be the case this summer.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH with locally stronger gusts.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions, through Saturday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 40s. Upper 30s to the lower 40s.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 64%/25%  Porterville, 74%/22%

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 2.06, Parlier 1.83, Arvin 1.86, Orange Cove 1.96, Porterville 1.78, Delano 1.77. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 65, Parlier 70, Arvin, 71, Orange Cove 72, Porterville 78, Delano 69.

Record Temperatures: 103/40. Average Temperatures: 86/57

Cooling Degree Days This Season:.  174 +12 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 70.3 +1.8 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.59  or -4.00 or 62% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -34

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  2.77, +or-  -3.46 or 44% of average.  Month to date  .00 or -.22

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    , Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 5:43 am   Sunset: 8:09  Hours of Daylight:  14:25

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  86 /  58 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  89 /  52 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  89 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  90 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  90 /  55 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  86 /  64 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  89 /  59 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  89 /  54 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  87 /  67 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  85 /  58 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    7.88    60    8.33    63    13.18    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    7.12    60    6.87    57    11.95    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.00    61    0.00     0    11.55    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.51    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.59    62    0.00     0    10.59    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.29    54    0.00     0     7.94     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    2.77    44    0.00     0     6.23     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    1.62    38    2.25    52     4.31     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    5.75    46    9.07    73    12.37    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    6.74    57   11.36    95    11.92    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.87    52   10.53    80    13.11    13.32

Next report: May 27/am