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Forecast

June 19, 2021/report

June 19, 2021

Taft recorded a scorching high temperature yesterday of 113, Lemoore 112, Fresno and Porterville 111.  I realize summer hasn’t even arrived on the calendar yet, but these may be the high temperatures of the summer.  Similar conditions can be expected this afternoon.

 

Strong upper level high pressure is centered over Arizona this morning.  it interconnects with another high off the northern California coast.  This minor difference in the pattern has turned the winds aloft more southwesterly, unlike the past 48 hours where subtropical moisture was pumped in from the southeast via the monsoon.

 

By Sunday afternoon, a weak low center will be developing off the northern and central California coast.  The marine layer, which currently stands at 1,200 feet will deepen enough Sunday to move through the Delta then over gaps and passes further south Sunday night and Monday.  Sunday will be hot, but progressively cooler as the work week moves on as the low remains off the northern California coast and morphs into a trough extending from Oregon through central California.  Most models project the low will move further off shore this coming weekend, which may lead to another round of triple digits.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and  extremely hot today.  Mostly clear and hot Sunday through Monday.  Mostly clear and cooler Monday night through Friday.  Mostly clear and warmer Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 111/70/105/65/101 Reedley 110/69/107/65/101 Dinuba 109/68/107/64/101
Porterville 111/70/107/65/102 Lindsay 109/69/106/65/102 Delano 112/71/107/65/103
Bakersfield 111/82/107/75/102 Taft 111/82/107/73/101 Arvin 111/76/108/75/103
Lamont 111/77/107/73/103 Pixley 111/69/107/65/102 Tulare 109/68/105/63/101
Woodlake 109/68/107/63/102 Hanford 111/70/107/65/103 Orosi 109/68/107/65/102

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

60/97

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/94

Thursday

Mostly clear

57/93

Friday

Mostly clear

62/94

Saturday

Mostly clear

63/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 23 through July 1:  this model shows a wide ranging high pressure system over the western US, resulting in above average temperatures and dry conditions.

 

June:  This model is indicating a ridge of upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the Desert Southwest and, to a lesser extent, California, resulting in above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model mimics the pattern of recent years, indicating high pressure over the Desert Southwest being the most dominant feature, resulting  in above average temperatures.  Theoretically, this pattern blocks monsoonal moisture from moving northward.  Typically, there’s little to no precipitation anyway, and that will be the case this summer.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds will be generally out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 8 to 15 MPH with stronger gusts through today.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to no more than 8 MPH with periods of near  calm conditions.  Winds later Sunday through Tuesday will be out of the west/northwest at 10 to 20 MPH with stronger gusts.

 

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Low to mid 50s. Kern:  Upper 40s to the lower 50s

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 57%/22%  Porterville, 62%/16%

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 50%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 50% Tomorrow: 90%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 2.27, Parlier 1.96, Arvin 1.99, Orange Cove 2.14, Porterville 1.92, Delano 1.90. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier 78, Arvin, 76, Orange Cove 80, Porterville NA, Delano 78.

Record Temperatures: 108/51. Average Temperatures: 93/62

Cooling Degree Days This Season:.  476 +94 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 77.9 +3.3 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.59  or -4.29 or 61% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -21

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  2.77, +or-  -3.53 or 44% of average.  Month to date  .00 or -.04

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    , Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 5:40 am   Sunset: 8:21  Hours of Daylight:  14:41

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 109 /  67 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 109 /  69 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 111 /  79 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 110 /  72 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 112 /  71 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 109 /  82 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 110 /  76 /    T /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 111 /  78 /    T /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1653 / 113 /  77 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 / 106 /  70 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    7.88    59    8.35    63    13.34    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    7.12    59    6.94    57    12.17    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.00    60    0.00     0    11.74    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M    0.00     0    10.74    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.59    61    0.00     0    10.88    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.29    53    0.00     0     8.06     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                      T    2.77    44    0.00     0     6.30     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    1.62    37    2.25    51     4.43     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    5.75    46    9.16    73    12.48    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    6.74    56   11.37    95    11.99    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.87    52   10.61    80    13.19    13.32

 

Next update: June 21/am