July 5, 2021
The first half of the week will be hot. The late part of the workweek and well into next week will be extremely hot. Through Wednesday, at the surface, there will be a balancing act. The marine layer is actually fairly deep with a depth of 2,400 feet. However, pressure along the coast is only slightly higher than inland. A shallow surge of marine air is moving through the Delta. Winds this morning at Travis AFB are sustained at 23, gusting to 31. Through Pacheco Pass, winds are sustained at just 15 MPH. this may be enough to keep temperatures in the upper 90s from Merced County north. Upper level high pressure will remain in its current position over the Four Corners region. The clockwise flow around the high has a minimal amount of high level moisture moving through the deserts of southern California as far north as southern Inyo County. However, clear skies with only a few high clouds can be expected through the workweek.
By Thursday night, the Four Corners high will begin to retrograde towards the California coast. By Friday night and through the weekend, the high will park over Nevada. Models indicate this high will be extremely strong, driving temperatures possibly into the 108 to 112 range Saturday through Tuesday. Some models show the high shifting back towards the east by Wednesday as a very weak trough of low pressure tries to move into northern California, trending temperatures slowly downward.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Thursday. Mostly clear and very hot Friday through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 98/64/100/64/101 | Reedley 101/65/101/65/101 | Dinuba 99/64/100/65/100 |
| Porterville 101/66/101/67/101 | Lindsay 100/63/101/64/101 | Delano 102/66/102/67/101 |
| Bakersfield 101/75/100/75/100 | Taft 100/75/101/75/101 | Arvin 102/70/102/71/102 |
| Lamont 101/70/101/71/102 | Pixley 102/65/102/66/102 | Tulare 100/63/101/64/100 |
| Woodlake 100/64/100/64/101 | Hanford 101/65/101/66/102 | Orosi 99/64/100/64/100 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Thursday
Mostly clear 68/102 |
Friday
Mostly clear 71/106
|
Saturday
Mostly clear 73/108 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 75/110 |
Monday
Mostly clear 76/111 |
Two Week Outlook: July 12 through July 18: This model shows an active monsoon into the Desert Southwest and, to a lesser extent, southern California and the Sierra Nevada. This pattern always offers a small chance of some rain with above average temperatures continuing.
July: The 30 day outlook for July follows the trend set in June with above average temperatures and upper level high pressure that’s stronger than usual. The typical dry conditions will continue.
July, August, September: Above average temperatures can be expected for the next three months. This model is given equal chance of rain for not only California but also the parched desert southwest.
Winds Discussion: During the afternoon and evening, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH. During the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: dry weather will continue for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 98%/21% Porterville, 53%/17%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 90% Tomorrow: 90%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 2.27, Parlier 2.01, Arvin 2.14, Orange Cove 2.13, Porterville 2.00 , Delano 2.01. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 81, Arvin, 79, Orange Cove NA, Porterville NA, Delano 83.
Record Temperatures: 112/52. Average Temperatures: 97/64
Cooling Degree Days This Season:. 793 +194 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Average Temperature for this month So Far: 85.0 +5,0 courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.59 or -4.32 or 60% of average. Month to Date: .00 or -00
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 2.77, +or- -3.54 or 44% of average. Month to date .00 or -.-00
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, , Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,
Hours at 45 or below 45. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise: 5:46 am Sunset: 8:21 Hours of Daylight: 14:35
Yesterday’s Weather
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 97 / 64 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 98 / 62 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 101 / 71 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 103 / 70 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 64 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 102 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 68 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / M / 81 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 101 / 66 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1649 / 101 / 72 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 7.88 59 8.35 63 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 7.12 58 6.94 57 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.00 60 0.00 0 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 0.00 0 10.75 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.59 60 0.00 0 10.91 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.29 53 0.00 0 8.07 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 2.77 44 0.00 0 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 1.62 36 2.25 50 4.50 4.84
SALINAS T 5.77 46 9.16 73 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 6.74 56 11.37 95 12.00 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.87 52 10.61 80 13.21 13.32
Next report: July 6/am