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Forecast

October 27, 2021/report

October 27, 2021

Fairly weak upper level high pressure continues to build from its center off the southern California coast.  The freezing level a few hours ago over Oakland had risen to 13,400 feet, indicating decent warming aloft.  This will be reflected in a warming trend on the valley floor as readings approach 70 today and move into the low to mid 70s Thursday and Friday.

 

A couple of weak low pressure systems will move through northern California Friday night into Sunday, resulting in partly cloudy skies over California and somewhat of a cooling trend as readings move back into the pleasant upper 60s and lower 70s.

 

Medium range models show a dry pattern for next week as a blocking ridge pattern prevails.  The two week outlook, however, is showing storms moving back into the Pacific Northwest and northern California so we’ll keep an eye on this to see if any future precipitation chances exist later down the road.  Most locations, as of 7:00am, have a visibility ranging from 7 to 10 miles.  The ground fog that is out there this morning will dissipate by 10:00 or 11:00am.

 

Forecast:   Areas of night and  morning fog and low clouds.  Otherwise it will be mostly clear and somewhat hazy through Friday.  Partly cloudy Friday night through Wednesday with patchy night and morning fog.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 68/43/73/48/75 Reedley 67/42/72/49/73 Dinuba 66/43/72/48/75
Porterville 68/45/74/50/76 Lindsay 67/41/72/48/75 Delano 69/47/73/51/75
Bakersfield 68/53/75/56/77 Taft 66/54/73/58/76 Arvin 69/49/75/53/77
Lamont 69/49/74/56/77 Pixley 68/47/73/49/75 Tulare 67/42/72/48/73
Woodlake 67/43/72/48/74 Hanford 68/47/73/50/75 Orosi 67/41/72/48/74

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Partly cloudy

50/74

Sunday

Partly cloudy

76/70

Monday

Partly cloudy

47/68

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

46/70

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

48/71

 

                                                 

Two Week Outlook:  November 3 through November 9:  This model is allowing for Pacific storms to move back into the Pacific Northwest and northern California.  Central California’s chance of measurable rain is about 50/50, mainly from Fresno County northward.  Temperatures will remain marginally above average.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds during the late morning and afternoon hours will be generally at or less than 10 MPH through Friday.  Winds during the  night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 7 MPH with  periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Dry weather will continue for at least the next week and possibly longer.   However, this morning’s two week model indicates rain will return to the Pacific Northwest and northern California.  Central California’s chance of precip is about 50/50 with  the best chance of rain being Fresno north.

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.      

Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, NA%/NA%  Porterville, 100`%,55% Dew points Low to mid 50s.   Bakersfield: Upper 40s to the lower 50s..

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 50%, tomorrow 70%.  Bakersfield: Today: 70%/80.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .71, Parlier .57, Arvin .74, Orange Cove .59, Porterville .55, Delano .NA. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 64, Parlier 63, Arvin, NA, Orange Cove 68, Porterville 66, Delano NA. *=data missing.

Record Temperatures: 89/35. Average Temperatures: 74/48

Heating Degree Days This Season.  100+42. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 67.2 which is 1.3 below average.  courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  .1.27 or + .85. Monthly  .1.27.

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, .94 or +74.  Month to date  .94

Aveverage Temperature this month: 62.5, -3.1. Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    ,Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Sunrise/Sunset:HOD:  7:19/6:06/10:49

NA=missing

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  68 /  49 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  67 /  48 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  67 /  50 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  67 /  46 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  68 /  44 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  64 /  51 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  64 /  46 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  65 /  48 /  0.00 /

IYK   : Inyokern AP     2455 :  69 /  41 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                    24       season  %      L.Y.    %     Ave.   Annual total ave

STOCKTON                      0.00    3.86   757    0.00     0     0.51    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    2.80   683    0.00     0     0.41    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    1.73   360       M     M     0.48    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    0.57   178       M     M     0.32    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    1.27   302       M     M     0.42    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    1.10   314       M     M     0.35     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    0.94   470       M     M     0.20     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    0.65   217    0.00     0     0.30     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    1.62   360       M     M     0.45    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    1.57   374    0.00     0     0.42    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    1.29   331    0.00     0     0.39    13.32

 

Next report: October 28