November 27, 2021
There are certainly signs that the valley floor has dried out. Only patchy fog prevails even though we’re under a strong warm air inversion. visibilities from Bakersfield to Madera generally range from 5 to 9 miles. There was good radiational cooling again last night under clear skies with widespread low to mid 30s in the citrus belt. Rio Bravo was the cold spot as of 6:00am with a reading of 29. Lindsay fell to 31.
Strong upper level high pressure is centered roughly 600 miles off the central coast and extends eastward over California and into the Great Basin. At the surface, pressure is still somewhat higher over the interior west than they are off the southern California coast. As of 6:00am, the altimeter at
Salt Lake City was reading 30.32 inches of mercury while at LAX, the current reading is 30.05.
Now that the valley is capped, the biggest problem will be poor air quality. Medium range models don’t offer much hope that the current pattern will be broke. British Columbia and Washington state will endure flooding over the next week or so while California remains dry.
Forecast: Other than patchy fog and hazy conditions, it will be mostly clear with occasional periods of high clouds through next Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 64/34/67/36/68 | Reedley 64/33/67/35/67 | Dinuba 63/33/66/36/67 |
| Porterville 65/35/67/36/67 | Lindsay 64/32/67/34/68 | Delano 65/33/67/36/67 |
| Bakersfield 67/44/70/46/70 | Taft 65/53/70/53/70 | Arvin 66/39/70/41/71 |
| Lamont 66/41/71/43/71 | Pixley 64/32/67/34/68 | Tulare 65/32/67/35/67 |
| Woodlake 64/32/66/34/67 | Hanford 64/34/67/37/67 | Orosi 63/32/67/35/68 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Tuesday
AM fog/PM sun 38/70 |
Wednesday
AM fog/PM sun 39/68 |
Thursday
AM fog/PM sun 38/70 |
Friday
AM fog/PM sun 39/71 |
Saturday
AM fog/PM sun 40/71 |
Two Week Outlook: December 4 through December 10: This model is not as favorable in the possibility of the storm track moving further south. It now indicates the bulk of the precipitation affecting the Pacific Northwest and possibly northern California with above average temperatures continuing.
December, January, February: If this model is to be believed at all, temperatures will be marginally above average over central California. This model also depicts the main storm track continuing into the Pacific Northwest with somewhat below average precipitation over the southern 2/3 of California.
Wind Discussion: Winds tonight through Tuesday will be generally variable at no more than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Lows this morning are again in the low to mid 30s north of Kern County and the mid 30s to near 40 in Kern County. I anticipate temperatures tonight to be possibly a degree or two milder as daytime highs begin to creep up underneath the dome of upper level high pressure. For the next several days, lows will generally run from 31 to 38 with a few frost pockets near 30. Kern County will be generally above freezing with better mixing as the off shore flow continues. There’s still nothing worrisome showing up on longer range models regarding a potentially cold weather pattern.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
32 |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
32 |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
32 |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
32 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
af |
| Belridge
af |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
32 |
Lindcove Hillside
af |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root Creek
31 |
Venice Hill
32 |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
32 |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 90%/47% Porterville, 99%/41%. Dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 30%, tomorrow 40%. Bakersfield: Today: 70%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .37, Parlier .32, Arvin .47, Orange Cove .40, Porterville .41, Delano .33. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 60, Parlier 57, Arvin, .59, Orange Cove 58, Porterville 55, Delano 51. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 60/39. Record Temperatures: 78/27
Heating Degree Days This Season. 350 -26. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .1.57 or +.28. Monthly .30. -.43
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .95 or +25. Month to date .01 -.41
Average Temperature this month: 55.7, +1.8 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 48 , Parlier, 67 , Arvin, 56, Belridge, 72 ,Shafter, 63 , Stratford, 96 , Delano, 72 , Porterville, 78 `
Sunrise. 6:50 Sunset, 4:43, hours of daylight, 9:54
NA=missing
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 65 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 64 / 39 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 64 / 43 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 65 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 67 / 36 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 44 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 64 / 42 / T /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 66 / 36 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr season % L.Y. % Ave. Annual total ave
STOCKTON 0.00 4.32 235 0.09 5 1.84 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 3.06 215 0.10 7 1.42 12.27
MERCED 0.00 2.00 133 1.08 72 1.50 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.65 54 0.16 13 1.20 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 1.57 122 0.28 22 1.29 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 1.24 127 0.13 13 0.98 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.95 136 0.39 56 0.70 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.78 128 T 0 0.61 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 2.19 134 0.37 23 1.63 12.58
PASO ROBLES M M M M M M 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 1.40 95 0.25 17 1.47 13.32
Next report: November 29