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Forecast

November 20, 2021

November 29, 2021

The valley floor has essentially dried out due to the long period of dry weather. Hanford received .07 back on November 8th while Bakersfield picked up .01. So despite the fact we have a strong warm air inversion above the valley floor, fog will have a difficult time getting a foothold. The air above us remains quite comfy for the time of year. As of 6:00am, Sandberg at an elevation of 4,100 feet was reporting 61 degrees while Blue Canyon at 5,600 feet was reporting 55. The freezing level a short time ago over Oakland was 13,100 feet. Strong upper level high pressure stretches from the mid  Pacific Ocean eastward into the Great Basin.  At the surface, surface high pressure is centered over Utah, maintaining an off shore flow. The main storm track continues to be deflect/y=ed into British Columbia and Washington state. Medium range models show no hope of a break in this overall pattern through the first week in December.

 

Forecast: Other than patchy morning fog and occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear through next Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 69/36/70/38/71 Reedley 70/36/71/38/72 Dinuba 69/35/69/37/71
Porterville 70/37/66/37/72 Lindsay 70/32/70/34/71 Delano 70/37/71/38/72
Bakersfield 70/56/71/46/72 Taft 70/53/53/74 Arvin 71/41/71/41/73
Lamont 72/52/72/53/74 Pixley 70/36/70/38/71 Tulare 70/32/71/35/70
Woodlake 70/33/70/36/71 Hanford 70/37/71/39/73 Orosi 69/33/70/35/71

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Thursday

Patchy fog/PM sun

38/72

Friday

Patchy fog/PM sun

39/72

Saturday

Patchy fog/PM sun

38/71

Sunday

Patchy fog/PM sun

37/70

Monday

Patchy fog/PM sun

38/67

                                                 

Two Week Outlook:  December 6 through December 12: This model is not as favorable in the possibility of the storm track moving further south. It now indicates the bulk of the precipitation affecting the Pacific Northwest and possibly northern California with above average temperatures continuing.

 

December, January, February: If this model is to be believed at all, temperatures will be marginally above average over central California. This model also depicts the main storm track continuing into the Pacific Northwest with somewhat below average precipitation over the southern 2/3 of California.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds tonight through Thursday will be generally variable at no more than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

Frost: Most locations were up a degree or two last night with  most locations in the mid to upper 30s. however, as of 6:00am, McFarland and Lindsay each had a temperature of 31. Slight moderation will continue with most locations  bottoming out in the mid 30s to the lower 40s, Isolated pockets will drop down into the lower 30s each night.  Upper level high pressure shows up on models through at least the first week in December. There’s just nothing out there that would result in particularly cold weather.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

Af

Ivanhoe

32

Woodlake

Af

Strathmore

Af

McFarland

32

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

Af

Lindsay

32

Exeter

32

Famoso

Af

Madera

af

Belridge

af

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

Af

Orosi

32

Orange Cove

32

Lindcove

32

Lindcove Hillside

af

Sanger River Bottom

30

Root Creek

32

Venice Hill

Af

Rosedale

Af

Jasmine

af

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

Af

Mettler

Af

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Creek

Af

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

32

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 90%/33%  Porterville, 100%/45%.  Dew points:  Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .44, Parlier .38, Arvin .56, Orange Cove .42, Porterville .47, Delano .40. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 59, Parlier 56, Arvin, .58, Orange Cove 57, Porterville 54, Delano 50. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 59/39.  Record Temperatures: 76/26

Heating Degree Days This Season.  376  -32. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  .1.57 or +.22. Monthly  .30. -.48

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, .95 or +21.  Month to date  .01 -.45

Average Temperature this month: 55.4, +1.9 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 74 , Parlier, 107 ,  Arvin,  89, Belridge,  108  ,Shafter, 96 , Stratford, 133 , Delano, 105 , Porterville, 119 `

Sunrise. 6:52 Sunset, 4:43, hours of daylight, 9:51

NA=missing

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  70 /  40 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  70 /  37 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  70 /  44 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  71 /  36 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  73 /  38 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  70 /  47 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  70 /  44 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  72 /  46 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                    24hr     season  %      L.Y.    %     Ave.   Annual total ave

STOCKTON                      0.00    4.32   220    0.09     5     1.96    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    3.06   203    0.10     7     1.51    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    2.00   127    1.08    68     1.58    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    0.65    51    0.16    13     1.28    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    1.57   116    0.28    21     1.35    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    1.24   120    0.13    13     1.03     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    0.95   128    0.39    53     0.74     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    0.78   124       T     0     0.63     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    2.19   126    0.37    21     1.74    12.58

PASO ROBLES                      M       M     M       M     M        M    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    1.40    89    0.25    16     1.57    13.32

 

Next report: November 30