Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/89% Porterville, 98%/68%. Dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 20%, tomorrow 10%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 10%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .19, Parlier .18, Arvin .29, Orange Cove .20, Porterville .20, Delano .18. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 57, Parlier 55, Arvin, .56, Orange Cove 56, Porterville 53, Delano 48. *=data missing.
Av
December 11, 2021
We are temporarily under the influence of upper level high pressure. This will ensure a dry weekend. However, we will be pounded by a blockbuster winter storm with the chance of precipitation as early as Sunday night. Widespread precipitation can be expected Monday through Tuesday evening. This will be a slow moving event and will go a long way in ensuring a good chance of decent precipitation for central California. The Sierra Nevada foothills should pick up 3 to 5 inches of rain from Sunday night through Tuesday night and anywhere from 4 to 8 feet of new snow over the highest elevations. All the key ingredients are coming together.
By late Sunday night, an intense winter storm will be off the Oregon/northern California coast with the jet stream flanked underneath the low. Embedded within the jet stream will initially be copious amounts of tropical moisture. On the valley floor, anywhere from ¾ of an inch to 1 ½ inches is possible.
The storm will slowly drag itself across central California Tuesday. It will slide into the interior west Wednesday, ending precipitation in central California. The water situation will definitely be improved by a generous snowpack. Models are also still trending towards another Pacific storm driving into California from Thursday into Friday. This won’t be nearly as an intense a storm, but models still paint a picture of another wet episode moving into California, adding another layer to the skiers’ delight.
After next Friday, we should see several days of dry weather. However, the two week model indicates another round of precipitation just before Christmas.
Forecast: Partly cloudy today and tonight with areas of ground fog developing. Increasing cloudiness Sunday. A chance of rain Sunday night, mainly from Fresno County north. Rain, heavy at times, Monday through Tuesday, turning more showery Tuesday night. Mostly to partly cloudy Wednesday. Increasing cloudiness again Wednesday night. Showers becoming likely Thursday into Friday. Mostly to partly cloudy Friday through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 55/31/55/45/55 | Reedley 56/31/56/44/55 | Dinuba 56/32/57/43/57 |
| Porterville 58/32/58/44/57 | Lindsay 57/30/55/43/56 | Delano 57/32/57/45/56 |
| Bakersfield 57/38/58/45/59 | Taft 55/44/57/45/57 | Arvin 59/34/59/45/60 |
| Lamont 59/34/55/46/58 | Pixley 57/35/57/45/57 | Tulare 57/40/58/54/57 |
| Woodlake 57/31/55/43/56 | Hanford 57/31/55/44/55 | Orosi 57/30/55/43/56 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Tuesday
Rain likely 48/57 |
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy 35/52 |
Thursday
Showers likely 34/52 |
Friday
Partly cloudy 34/53 |
Saturday
Partly cloudy 34/50 |
Two Week Outlook: December 17 through the 23: More and more, models are indicating an active weather pattern with a good chance of precipitation during this period. These storms will have their origins in the Gulf of Alaska, so expect below average temperatures.
December, January, February: If this model is to be believed at all, temperatures will be marginally above average over central California. This model also depicts the main storm track continuing into the Pacific Northwest with somewhat below average precipitation over the southern 2/3 of California.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at around 6 to 12 mph, diminishing later today with light winds tonight. Winds Sunday will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph, increasing to 15 to 25 mph late Sunday night through Monday night with gusts to 35 mph possible. Winds Tuesday will become out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts.
Rain: The chance of rain will again pick up Sunday night, mainly from Fresno County north. From Monday through Tuesday, heavy amounts of rain are likely over the entire valley. The amount of moisture involved with the subtropical jet stream is likely to overcome the typical rain shadow along the west side and in Kern County, so even Bakersfield could pick up more than ½ inch.
Rain will taper off by Wednesday morning, however a new storm will roll out of the Gulf of Alaska Thursday into Friday. This system is not nearly as strong, but it will keep the precipitation machine rolling along.
Frost: This morning’s temperatures are generally in the lower 30s at the vast majority of locations. Lindsay came in at 29 degrees and McFarland 28 as of 6:00am. Conditions tonight should be similar with widespread lower 30s and upper 20s in the coldest locations. All locations will be above freezing Monday through Thursday. After a system moves through Thursday, temperatures will chill down into the low to mid 30s as the air mass swinging southward behind the Thursday storm is cold, but more or less typical for mid December.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
32 |
Ivanhoe
30 |
Woodlake
31 |
| Strathmore
32 |
McFarland
29 |
Ducor
32 |
Tea Pot Dome
31 |
| Lindsay
29 |
Exeter
30 |
Famoso
32 |
Madera
32 |
| Belridge
30 |
Delano
31 |
North Bakersfield
32 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
30 |
Lindcove
30 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
28 |
| Root Creek
30 |
Venice Hill
31 |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
31 |
Mettler
32 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
32 |
Holland Creek
32 |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/89% Porterville, 98%/68%. Dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 20%, tomorrow 10%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 10%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .19, Parlier .18, Arvin .29, Orange Cove .20, Porterville .20, Delano .18. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 57, Parlier 55, Arvin, .56, Orange Cove 56, Porterville 53, Delano 48. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 56/37. Record Temperatures: 69/25
Heating Degree Days This Season. 551 –69. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .1.98 or +.06. Monthly .41. -.06
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 1.10 or + .02. Month to date .29 or +.45
Average Temperature this month: 49.5, +.2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 140, Parlier, 193 , Arvin, 190, Belridge, 205 ,Shafter, 197 , Stratford, 221 , Delano, 194 , Porterville, 226 `
Sunrise. 7:02, Sunset, 4:43, hours of daylight, 9:41
NA=missing
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 56 / 32 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 57 / 32 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 56 / 40 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 56 / 32 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 57 / 32 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 56 / 39 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 56 / 36 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 56 / 36 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 47 / 25 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 52 / 30 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 56 / 36 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 47 / 25 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 52 / 30 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr season % L.Y. % Ave. Annual total ave
STOCKTON 0.00 4 .43 158 0.09 3 2.81 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 3.32 147 0.10 4 2.26 12.27
MERCED 0.00 2.22 101 1.08 49 2.19 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.69 37 0.16 9 1.88 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 1.98 104 0.28 15 1.90 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 1.56 110 0.13 9 1.42 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 1.10 102 0.39 36 1.08 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.78 96 T 0 0.81 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 2.36 94 0.37 15 2.51 12.58
PASO ROBLES M M M M M M 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 1.55 71 0.25 11 2.19 13.32
Next report: December 11 PM