Forecast

January 26, 2022/report

January 26, 2022

Another tranquil morning. There are patches of fog out there but nothing too widespread. Most of the usual reporting stations are reporting visibilities of from 4 to 8 miles. Visalia is the lone exception with a visibility down to 1 mile. The very quiet pattern of January will continue through Friday. At the surface, barometers are a tad higher than over the interior west.  The current altimeter reading at Salt Lake City is 30.29 inches of mercury while at LAX  the current pressure is 30.09. at the upper levels of the atmosphere, high pressure stretches along the west coast, ridging into western Canada with a weak easterly flow aloft. The freezing level taken this morning over Oakland stood at 11,600  feet.  The high, which is centered just off shore, will shift eastward over California Thursday and Friday for slightly warmer temperatures. Over the weekend, a weak upper low will slide southward along the coast, but will be too far off shore to have an impact. It twill, however, begin the process of breaking down the zone of high pressure, allowing a trough of low pressure to develop in British Columbia all the way to southern California for an increasing chance of showers. Tuesday and Wednesday of next week are the times of greatest possibility. Most of the change’s evolution will take place over land, so far now we’re not expecting a heavy precipitation event, but more of a light shower regime. The above average temperatures of this month will shift to below average for a while as the flow pattern becomes out of the northwest.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Friday with some high clouds at times and patchy night and morning fog. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday night through Sunday. Increasing cloudiness Monday leading to a chance of showers Tuesday and Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 64/33/64/34/64 Reedley 65/33/65/34/64 Dinuba 64/32/64/33/64
Porterville 65/33/65/34/64 Lindsay 64/31/63/32/63 Delano 66/34/65/34/65
Bakersfield 67/40//65/40/66 Taft 64/44/63/44/64 Arvin 66/35/66/36/67
Lamont 66/35/66/35/67 Pixley 65/33/65/33/66 Tulare 63//32//63/33/63
Woodlake 64/32/64/33/63 Hanford 64/33/63/34/63 Orosi 63/32/63/32/63

 

Seven Forecast:

Saturday

Patchy fog/partly cloudy

35/64

Sunday

Patchy fog/mostly cloudy

34/63

Monday

Increasing clouds

 

40/64

Tuesday

Chance of showers

40/61

Wednesday

Chance of showers

36/58

                                                 

Two Week Outlook:  February 1 through February 7: If this model has any credence, we should see at least some precipitation, especially between the 2 and the 4. Temperatures will sag below average.

 

February:  The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.

 

February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.

 

Rain: the next chance of measurable rain will be this coming Tuesday. It now appears most of this storm’s evolution will form overland from British Columbia through southern California. This would favor mainly light showers in the valley. The best chance of precipitation will be Tuesday and Wednesday. A blocking ridge pattern shows up behind this system for another prolonged period of dry weather.

 

Frost: Sanger, Exeter, and Lindsay were all reporting 30 degrees as of 6:00am. All other locations were in the low to mid 30s. only minor fluctuations are expected over the next few days with highs rising into the low to mid 60s each day. However, with a dry valley floor, riverbottom type locations are expected to drop to below freezing with most other locations ranging in the low to mid 30s. hopefully we’ll receive some rain next week, enough to wet the ground to act as a mediator in case something cold shows up down the road.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

33

Ivanhoe

31

Woodlake

32

Strathmore

Af

McFarland

30

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

32

Lindsay

31

Exeter

31

Famoso

Af

Madera

33

Belridge

31

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

33

Orosi

32

Orange Cove

32

Lindcove

31

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

28

Root Creek

31

Venice Hill

32

Rosedale

33

Jasmine

33

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

32

Mettler

33

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Creek

31

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

31

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 94%/43%  Porterville, 100%/52%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Upper 30s to the lower 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 30s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .52, Parlier .42, Arvin 49, Orange Cove .40, Porterville .44, Delano .46. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 53, Parlier 51, Arvin, 53, Orange Cove 51, Porterville 49, Delano 46. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 57/38.  Record Temperatures: 72/24

Heating Degree Days This Season.  1373 -117, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.21 or +.22.  Monthly  .T -1.77

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 3.56 or  +.70. Month to date  .01 -.96

Average Temperature this month: 48.0, +1.4 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 634, Parlier, 746,  Arvin, 629, Belridge, 679, Shafter, 675, Stratford, 763, Delano, 738, Porterville, 759 courtesy UC Davis  

Sunrise. 7:05, Sunset, 5:19, hours of daylight, 10:13

 

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  61 /  37 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  62 /  36 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  62 /  40 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  62 /  36 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  63 /  34 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  63 /  34 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  62 /  38 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  64 /  37 /  0.00 /

/

 

CLIMATE STATION            TOTAL    2022     PON  2021     PON  NORMAL   NORMAL

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.21   123    3.05    46     6.65    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.15   138    1.74    29     5.92    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    5.85   107    2.65    48     5.49    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M    1.05    22     4.85    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.21   104    2.58    52     4.99    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.61   123    1.21    32     3.75     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    3.56   124    1.10    38     2.86     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.50   197    0.21     9     2.29     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.11   100    1.33    22     6.09    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    7.34   130    1.14    20     5.65    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.26   105    2.35    39     5.95    13.32

Next report: January 26 PM