January 31, 2022
The reporting stations this morning indicate visibilities of between 5 and 10 miles. A weak upper air disturbance off shore is pivoting some high clouds over central California, but no precipitation is expected. To our north, a trough of low pressure is digging southward through the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. The western flank of this trough will move through central California Tuesday and Tuesday night. In the meantime, a large upper high will build over the eastern Pacific Ocean, creating a northerly flow between the off shore high and the trough which, ,by that time, will be moving into the Rocky Mountain region. This will lower temperatures with widespread frost anticipated Wednesday through Friday mornings. More in the frost discussion below. Medium range models all indicate a large high will be over the eastern Pacific with occasional ripples of low pressure moving through the Great Basin this weekend and well into next week, ensuring the continuance of a dry weather pattern for the first ten days of February.
Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy today and tonight with patchy late night and early morning fog. Mostly clear with occasional high clouds Tuesday and on through Monday of next week with patchy night and morning fog.
Short Term:
| Madera 60/34/57/31/55 | Reedley 61/34/57/32/55 | Dinuba 59/33/57/30/54 |
| Porterville 61/34/57/31/55 | Lindsay 60/32/57/30/54 | Delano 62/34/57/32/55 |
| Bakersfield 58/41/56/33/54 | Taft 58/43/56/40/54 | Arvin 62/35/57/32/55 |
| Lamont 61/34/57/32/54 | Pixley 61/32/57/30/55 | Tulare 59/32/58/30/54 |
| Woodlake 61/33/57/30/54 | Hanford 61/34/57/31/54 | Orosi 61/34/57/31/55 |
Seven Forecast
| Thursday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 30/56 |
Friday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 32/62 |
Saturday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 32/63 |
Sunday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 33/63 |
Monday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 33/65 |
Two Week Outlook: February 4 through February 10: this time around, this model is reverting back to the same old thing. A large ridge of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the US, meaning the chance of rain will be very low with above average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH today with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH possible along the far west side. Winds Tuesday night and Wednesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH with light to near calm conditions returning Wednesday evening through Thursday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Lows again tonight will be mainly in the low to mid 30s. A trough of low pressure will move from north to south through the western US late tonight into Wednesday, spreading a somewhat colder air mass into the valley. We may see some upslope clouds against the north facing slopes of the Kern County mountains, possibly arcing over the valley floor in some areas. Where it stays clear and winds die off Wednesday through Friday mornings, readings will dip into the upper 20s to the low to mid 30s. Coldest locations Wednesday and Thursday mornings in those unprotected cold spots will dip down to 27 to 30 degrees. It will be the weekend before readings begin to moderate somewhat. One of the tools in overnight low temperatures is absent for now and that is low level moisture. This is due to lack of rain, a factor that will remain absent until a storm system strong enough moves in and wets the ground to bump up dew points. For now, that’s not in the equation.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
32 |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
32 |
| Strathmore
32 |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
31 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
31 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
29 |
| Root Creek
31 |
Venice Hill
32 |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
31 |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 93%/38% Porterville, 100%/42%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 60%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today: 70%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .55, Parlier .50, Arvin 72, Orange Cove .51, Porterville .51, Delano .52. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 50, Arvin, 51, Orange Cove 49, Porterville 48, Delano 44. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 58/39. Record Temperatures: 75/26
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1454 -121, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -.10. Monthly .T -2.09
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.52. Month to date .01 -1.14
Average Temperature this month: 48.1, +1.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 693, Parlier, 812, Arvin, 678, Belridge, 753, Shafter, 726, Stratford, 826, Delano, 803, Porterville, 825 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 7:02, Sunset, 5:23, hours of daylight, 10:22
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 63 / 33 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 64 / 34 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 67 / 40 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 65 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 65 / M / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 65 / 39 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 63 / 37 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 65 / 36 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 116 5.90 83 7.08 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 129 5.44 86 6.32 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 100 5.61 96 5.86 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.05 20 5.19 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 98 4.82 91 5.31 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 116 3.03 77 3.96 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 117 1.72 57 3.04 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 185 1.30 53 2.43 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 94 4.40 67 6.52 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 121 5.93 98 6.07 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 98 5.90 93 6.36 13.32
Next report: January 31 PM