March 6, 2022
Plenty of lower level cloud cover blankets much of Kern and Tulare Counties this morning. Even with the cloud cover, most locations have chilled into the low to mid 30s as of 6:00am. The very cold upper low has moved off to the east into the Four Corners region. The freezing level has moved up some but is still very low and stands at 5,200 feet at Oakland. Yesterday at this time, the reading was 2,600 feet. California is sandwiched between a southwest to northeast oriented high over the eastern Pacific with a ridge extending into northwest Canada and a cold low over the desert southwest. this continues to pump cold air into California so areas of frost are likely the next few nights. A trough of low pressure will move into the interior west Wednesday night and Thursday, too far to the east for active weather over us. It will, however, slow the warming trend. By the weekend, the high will have shifted overhead, driving temperatures into the 70s. medium range models for next week show a zonal or westerly flow across the eastern Pacific and into the western US. The weather will be active over the Pacific Northwest and northern California from time to time, but for now it appears we will be just south of the activity.
Forecast: Partly cloudy today. Mostly clear with occasional high clouds tonight through Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 59/31/64/33/68 | Reedley 61/32/65/35/68 | Dinuba 60/30/64/31/67 |
| Porterville 59/31/64/32/67 | Lindsay 60/30/65/31/67 | Delano 59/33/64/34/68 |
| Bakersfield 58/37/65/38/67 | Taft 56/41/61/43/64 | Arvin 59/35/64/34/67 |
| Lamont 58/34/64/35/69 | Pixley 60/32/64/33/68 | Tulare 59/30/63/32/67 |
| Woodlake 60/32/66/33/67 | Hanford 60/32/64/33/68 | Orosi 59/30/64/31/67 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Wednesday
Mostly clear 35/70 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 36/69 |
Friday
Mostly clear 36/66 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 37/72 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 38/73 |
Two Week Outlook: March 11 through March 17: Upper level high pressure will build into the western ¼ of the US, resulting in a period of dry weather with temperatures rising to above average.
March: The 30 day outlook for the month of March really does not show much guidance for either precipitation or temperatures. Essentially what it says is near average temperatures with near average precipitation.
March, April, May: The March, April, May period moves us into the traditional beginning of the dry season. This model is showing below average precipitation for most of the state. Guidance is fairly flat as far as temperatures are concerned as it indicates near average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Wednesday will be generally out of the northwest afternoons and early evenings 5 to 10 mph. during the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry weather for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: The coldest location this morning as of 6:00am was Fowler at 29 degrees. Most other locations dropped into the low to mid 30s. more locations will be at or marginally below freezing tonight as the upslope clouds currently over portions of the valley begin to dissipate due to a dry northerly flow aloft.. both Monday and Tuesday mornings, widespread low to mid 30s can be expected with the coldest locations down to 27 to 28 degrees. With anticipated mid afternoon dew points in the low to mdi 30s, most flat terrain real estate will range from 29 to 35 with hillsides above freezing. The inversion will be somewhat better tonight with temperatures at 34 feet generally from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. For Wednesday morning, expect most locations to range from 2 to 3 degrees warmer than Tuesday’s outcome. Most locations Thursday and Friday will range from the mid 30s to near 40. Above freezing conditions can be expected for the weekend and well beyond,
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
32 |
Porterville
31 |
Ivanhoe
30 |
Woodlake
31 |
| Strathmore
32 |
McFarland
29 |
Ducor
32 |
Tea Pot Dome
31 |
| Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
31 |
Famoso
32 |
Madera
31 |
| Belridge
30 |
Delano
33 |
North Bakersfield
32 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
31 |
Lindcove
30 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
27 |
| Root Creek
29 |
Venice Hill
31 |
Rosedale
32 |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
31 |
Mettler
30 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
30 |
Holland Creek
32 |
Tivy Valley
29 |
| Kite Road South
32 |
Kite Road North
29 |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 93%/47% Porterville, 96%/55%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 50%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .71, Parlier .70, Arvin .84, Orange Cove .68, Porterville .70, Delano .77. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 57, Arvin, 55, Orange Cove 54, Porterville 54, Delano 52. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 66/43. Record Temperatures: 86/31
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1926 -112, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.43 or -2.20. Monthly .11 -.14
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 4.35 or -.11. Monthly, .68 +.48
Average Temperature this month: 54.7 +0.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:21, Sunset, 5:59, hours of daylight, 11:35
Yesterday’s weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 57 / 31 / 0.01 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 55 / 32 / 0.02 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 55 / 38 / 0.07 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 57 / 33 / T /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 58 / 32 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : M / 39 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 55 / 36 / T /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 55 / 35 / T /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 82 6.86 68 10.03 13.45
MODESTO 0.01 8.17 91 6.38 71 8.95 12.27
MERCED 0.01 5.88 69 5.92 70 8.47 11.80
MADERA 0.02 M M 1.19 16 7.61 10.79
FRESNO 0.07 5.43 71 5.11 67 7.63 10.99
HANFORD M 5.29 93 3.05 54 5.69 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 4.35 98 1.81 41 4.46 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 130 1.61 46 3.47 4.84
SALINAS 0.08 6.26 66 4.73 50 9.42 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.37 81 5.96 66 9.07 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.02 6.35 65 6.08 62 9.76 13.32
Next report: March 6 PM
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.