April 6, 2022
Springtime is typically a time of radical change in the northern hemisphere. We are moving into one such change now. Temperatures will jump well into the 80s today then well into the 90s Thursday through Friday with only slight cooling Saturday. This first phase which will jet us into summer like conditions is being brought courtesy of strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific which is now building eastward into California. The freezing level has jumped up to 13,400 feet, which is close to being an early summer reading. Records will fall just about everywhere down the valley Thursday and especially Friday as the high moves inland along with its bubble of warm subsiding air. A trough of low pressure will move through the Pacific Northwest Saturday, breaking the high down over its northern flank. Another low will develop just west of the British Columbia coast then will slide southward into California Monday and Tuesday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur Monday and Tuesday. Thunderstorm development will, in part, be due to breaks in the overcast. These breaks allow warm currents of air to warm skyward and interact with the cold air aloft. Temperatures will plummet into the upper 60s Tuesday and Wednesday. A new high will build over the eastern Pacific on Wednesday, ending the active weather for a while.
Forecast: Mostly clear and much warmer through Friday. Mostly clear Saturday and Saturday night. Increasing cloudiness Sunday. Mostly cloudy Sunday night through Tuesday with a chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday. Partly to mostly cloudy Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 84/51/94/54/96 | Reedley 84/51/85/54/94 | Dinuba 83/50/93/54/95 |
| Porterville 84/51/95/57/96 | Lindsay 82/51/94/54/96 | Delano 84/52/94/56/95 |
| Bakersfield 84/61/96/62/96 | Taft 82/64/91/68/91 | Arvin 85/53/95/56/97 |
| Lamont 84/55/95/56/96 | Pixley 84/51/94/56/95 | Tulare 82/50/93/53/94 |
| Woodlake 82/51/95/54/95 | Hanford 84/52/95/55/96 | Orosi 81/50/95/53/95 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 54/93 |
Sunday
Increasing clouds 46/85 |
Monday
Showers likely 42/74 |
Tuesday
Showers likely 42/68 |
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy 40/67 |
Two Week Outlook: April 13 through April 19: This model indicates temperatures will rise to at least marginally above average during this period. It also indicates that there will be a semi blocking ridge pattern in place, meaning the chance of precipitation is very low.
April: April is a transition month as we move from springtime weather to early summer weather at the end of the month. This model indicates above average temperatures over the southern half of the Golden State with near average temperatures over northern and central California. Precipitation will range below average.
April, May, June: This model shows above average temperatures over the Desert Southwest, stretching westward to California. With high pressure generally in control, expect below average precipitation…which doesn’t mean much now that we’re headed into the dry season.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Friday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to around 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions. On Saturday, winds will begin to increase out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts, mainly along the west side.
Rain: Expect dry weather to continue through Sunday and possibly Sunday night. A low off the British Columbia coast will quickly slide southward, spreading showers over the area Monday and Tuesday, and possibly even Wednesday. Currently, Tuesday appears to be the most active day. Afternoon and evening isolated thunderstorms will also be possible Monday and Tuesday afternoons. The action should begin to wind down by Wednesday with dry weather for several days thereafter.
Frost: Expect above freezing temperatures indefinitely.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 87%/45% Porterville, 100%/53%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.41, Parlier 1.14, Arvin 1.28, Orange Cove .1.13, Porterville .1.11, Delano 1.26. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 62, Parlier 64, Arvin, 64, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 67, Delano 61. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 71/46. Record Temperatures: 92/36
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 24 +16. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.99 or -3.47. Monthly .00 -.25
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 63.6 +4.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:36, Sunset, 7:27, hours of daylight, 12:48
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 76 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 76 / 40 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 76 / 53 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 77 / 45 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 76 / 45 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 76 / 55 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 77 / 48 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 77 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.04 76 7.84 66 11.85 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.76 82 7.12 67 10.64 12.27
MERCED 0.00 6.69 66 6.97 68 10.21 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 9.44 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.99 63 6.44 68 9.46 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 5.80 82 4.13 58 7.10 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.01 90 2.58 46 5.56 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.75 120 1.62 41 3.96 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.87 61 5.70 50 11.34 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.48 75 6.73 60 11.24 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.40 61 6.86 57 12.12 13.32
Next report: April 7
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.