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Forecast

April 8, 2022/report

April 8, 2022

This is absolutely ridiculous. Fresno recorded a high of 94 yesterday, Lemoore 96, and Bakersfield 97. As I look around for information that would result in a cool down today, I find none. The marine layer is only 500 feet deep and winds at Travis AFB are variable at 5 mph, indicating no sea breeze is moving inland as of yet. However, there are changes afoot. The strong upper ridge will begin to shift eastward at midday today in response to a low pressure system moving through the Pacific Northwest. This system will drag a weak trough of low pressure through central California this weekend, rapidly deepening the marine layer.  In another 24 hours, there should be roughly a 10 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas. This will cause the marine layer to surge inland late tonight and Saturday. Currently, the surface flow is off shore. The altimeter at Salt Lake City is at 30.27 inches of mercury while at LAX the current reading is 29.91. by Monday, a low will drop southward from British Columbia and will dive into northern and central California late Monday and Tuesday. Showers will spread down the Sierra Nevada Monday with a chance of light showers over the valley floor Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Temperatures will plunge from the mid 90s this afternoon to the upper 60s and lower 70s Tuesday. There is actually a chance of local frost Tuesday and Wednesday mornings with most locations in the mid 30s to the lower 40s. expect dry weather for the remainder of next week as a flat zone of high pressure will extend from the eastern Pacific across California.

 

Forecast: Clear and hot today. Mostly clear tonight through Sunday night and much cooler. Variable cloudiness Monday through Wednesday with a chance of light showers Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Wednesday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 94/54/81/45/75 Reedley 95/55/82/46/75 Dinuba 94/54/82/45/74
Porterville 95/54/83/45/75 Lindsay 94/54/83/44/74 Delano 95/55/83/47/75
Bakersfield 97/60/83/53/75 Taft 92/65/80/54/72 Arvin 96/58/83/52/76
Lamont 96/58/83/50/76 Pixley 94/52/83/44/74 Tulare 93/51/83/44/73
Woodlake 93/52/83/44/75 Hanford 96/56/83/47/75 Orosi 93/52/83/43/74

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

PM showers

43/73

Tuesday

Chance of showers

35/69

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

35/64

Thursday

Mostly clear

40/71

Friday

Mostly clear

44/73

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  April 15 through April 21: This model indicates temperatures will rise to at least marginally above average during this period. It also indicates that there will be a semi blocking ridge pattern in place, meaning the chance of precipitation is very low.

 

April:  April is a transition month as we move from springtime weather to early summer weather at the end of the month. This model indicates above average temperatures over the southern half of the Golden State with near average temperatures over northern and central California. Precipitation will range below average.

 

April, May, June: This model shows above average temperatures over the Desert Southwest, stretching westward to California. With high pressure generally in control, expect below average precipitation…which doesn’t mean much now that we’re headed into the dry season.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds today will be generally out of the west to northwest at 5 to 12 mph. Winds later tonight through Saturday will increase out of the west to northwest at 10 to 20 mph. Gusts to 35 mph will be possible, mainly along the west side but locally elsewhere. There will be periods of winds out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts Saturday night through Monday.

 

Rain:  Light showers will spread down the Sierra Nevada Monday. most of the blended model information this morning gives the valley floor roughly a 50/50 chance of precipitation at any given location late Monday afternoon through Tuesday. What precipitation does fall will be quite light, with amounts ranging from nothing to .10. For now, we’ll keep thunderstorms out of the forecast as the most unstable portion of this storm will be well to our north. Dry weather will return Tuesday night, lasting through the remainder of next week.

 

Frost:  Blended model information is indicating widespread mid to upper 30s Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Under the right conditions…clear skies and calm winds…temperatures will drop to lower 30s in river bottom and other cold spots. For now, it appears the coldest reading will be around 30, especially Wednesday morning. The air mass will have modified enough by Thursday for above freezing temperatures with above freezing temperatures the remainder of the week.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 81%/29%  Porterville, 99%/23%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Mid 30s to the lower 40s.  Kern: Upper 30s to the mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 70%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 80%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.53, Parlier 1.28, Arvin 1.47, Orange Cove .1.32, Porterville .1.27, Delano 1.29. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 58, Parlier 65, Arvin, 64, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 68, Delano 61. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 72/47.  Record Temperatures: 95/35

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  24 +16. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.99 or -3.56.  Monthly  .00 -.34

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.01 or  -.60.  Monthly,  -.20

Average Temperature this month: 64.4 +5.0  Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129,  Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 6:33, Sunset, 7:28, hours of daylight, 12:53

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  92 /  59 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  92 /   M /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  94 /  62 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  92 /  55 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  96 /  54 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  97 /  63 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  91 /  55 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  93 /  56 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                      24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

STOCKTON                      0.00    9.04    76    7.84    66    11.94    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.76    82    7.12    66    10.73    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    6.69    65    6.97    68    10.30    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M     9.51    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.99    63    6.44    67     9.55    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    5.80    81    4.13    58     7.15     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.01    89    2.58    46     5.61     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.75   119    1.62    41     3.98     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.87    60    5.70    50    11.42    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    8.48    75    6.73    60    11.30    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    7.40    61    6.86    56    12.21    13.32

Next report: April 9

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.