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Forecast

April 22, 2022/report

April 22, 2022

Most locations received a good soaking from the current storm. Rainfall amounts generally ranged from a tenth to a third of an inch. However, a few locations received over a half inch where isolated thunderstorms popped up. More rainfall amounts are discussed below.

 

Widely scattered showers are still dotting the valley but will end by late morning as the back side of the low moves eastward into Nevada and the interior western US. The west side of the valley will be somewhat breezy today as surface pressures tighten up between San Francisco and Las Vegas. The current altimeter reading at San Francisco is 29.97 inches of mercury while Las Vegas was reporting 29.71.  the pressure gradient will increase as the day progresses.

 

Today will be on the cool side. The current freezing level taken a short time ago above Oakland was just 4,700 feet. That will begin to sharply rise over the next 72 hours as a ridge of high pressure builds in from the west. A bubble of warm, subsiding air will drive the temperature to near 80 as early as Monday compared to the mid 60s I anticipate this afternoon.

 

The high will flatten out next week with the storm track generally ranging from west to east into British Columbia and Washington state with California remaining dry.

 

Forecast: Scattered showers for a time this morning. Becoming partly cloudy this afternoon.  Partly cloudy tonight but remaining mostly cloudy in Kern County through Saturday morning. Mostly clear skies Saturday afternoon and on through Friday of next week with occasional periods of high clouds.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 65/41/75/44/81 Reedley 67/43/74/45/81 Dinuba 66/43/73/45/80
Porterville 64/43/72/46/81 Lindsay 65/40/74/45/80 Delano 65/45/74/46/82
Bakersfield 65/49/71/51/81 Taft 63/51/69/53/79 Arvin 65/45/73/47/82
Lamont 66/47/74/48/82 Pixley 65/40/72/45/81 Tulare 64/40/73/44/81
Woodlake 66/42/74/44/80 Hanford 66/45/75/46/81 Orosi 65/41/74/44/80

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

46/82

Tuesday

Mostly clear

49/87

Wednesday

Mostly clear

47/82

Thursday

Mostly clear

46/81

Friday

Mostly clear

41/77

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  April 28 through May 4: This model indicates a trough of low pressure will be moving into the western states, resulting in a chance of showers, mainly for northern California. Colder air aloft will also be associated with this feature, resulting in marginally below average temperatures.

 

May:  This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.

 

May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low

 

Wind Discussion: Winds through the late evening hours will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times. Stronger gusts will be possible, mainly along the west side. These winds will decrease during the late evening through the overnight hours. Winds Saturday through Monday will  be generally out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph.. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally light and variable with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  The following are storm totals as of 6:00am: Stratford .07, Parlier .17, Arvin .12, Orange Cove .32, Delano .20, Bakersfield .27, Buttonwillow .21, shafter .33, Porterville .33, Visalia ..11, Del Rey .49, Fresno .22, Madera .22, Merced .45, Lemoore .19.

 

Scattered showers will continue for a time this morning then draw to a close by midday. Expect dry weather this afternoon and on through the weekend. If models are accurate, dry conditions can be expected all of next week.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 74%/28%  Porterville, 94%/37%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 60%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 30%/. Tomorrow, 60%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.42, Parlier 1.28, Arvin 1.58, Orange Cove 1.27, Porterville .1.28, Delano 1.33. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 58, Parlier 64, Arvin, 66, Orange Cove 62, Porterville 69, Delano 64. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 75/49.  Record Temperatures: 96/33

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  45 +23. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.24 or -3.75.  Monthly  .25 -.57

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.26 or  -.63.  Monthly,  .25 -.23

Average Temperature this month: 62.6 +1.9  Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129,  Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 6:14, Sunset, 7:49, hours of daylight, 13:25

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  65 /  46 /  0.19 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  67 /  50 /  0.21 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  71 /  49 /  0.50 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  71 /  46 /  0.02 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  75 /  52 /  0.27 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  71 /  50 /  0.16 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  72 /  50 /  0.31 /

 

Rainfall:                                      24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 50    9.71    78    7.84    63    12.47    13.45
  2. MODESTO 17    8.96    80    7.12    64    11.20    12.27
  3. MERCED 36    7.41    68    6.97    64    10.86    11.80
  4. MADERA 05       M     M    1.55    16     9.95    10.79
  5. FRESNO 10    6.18    62    6.44    64    10.03    10.99
  6. HANFORD T    80    77    4.13    55     7.51     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.01    85    2.58    44     5.89     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   116    1.62    40     4.08     4.84
  9. SALINAS 05    7.18    60    5.72    48    11.87    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 07 8.59    74    6.73    58    11.55    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 01 7.42    59    6.86    54    12.61    13.32

Next report: April 23

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.