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Forecast

April 26, 2022/report

April 26, 2022

A series of disturbances is tracking from west to east across the eastern Pacific Ocean and into the Pacific Northwest. Each time this occurs, high clouds become evident over central California as they overrun high pressure over the Golden State. The marine layer along the coast has deepened enough to spill through the Delta and into the San Joaquin Valley. As a result, most locations will be a few degrees off yesterday’s highs. Another such system will ride inland to our north Thursday, pushing temperatures down into the 70s Thursday and Friday. Finally, over the weekend a weak ridge of upper level high pressure will begin moving north so by Sunday we’ll be back into the low to mid 80s. medium range models don’t show anything too exciting out there as fluctuations in the strengths and positions of lows and highs will be evident. The only real forecast challenge from day to day will be temperatures. No rain is anticipated for the next week to possibly ten days.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night and on through Tuesday of next week with occasional high clouds.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 81/45/81/43/74 Reedley 82/47/82/46/75 Dinuba 82/46/81/45/74
Porterville 83/45/81/45/75 Lindsay 83/45/81/44/74 Delano 83/48/81/46/76
Bakersfield 82/55/81/52/74 Taft 80/57/78/52/72 Arvin 84/48/83/48/76
Lamont 83/48/81/48/75 Pixley 82/46/82/45/75 Tulare 81/42/81/43/74
Woodlake 82/46/82/45/75 Hanford 83/48/81/47/74 Orosi 82/46/8/44/74

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

41/75

Saturday

Mostly clear

44/76

Sunday

Mostly clear

48/83

Monday

Mostly clear

48/82

Tuesday

Mostly clear

47/82

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  April 28 through May 4: This model indicates a trough of low pressure will be moving into the western states, resulting in a chance of showers, mainly for northern California. Colder air aloft will also be associated with this feature, resulting in marginally below average temperatures.

 

May:  This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.

 

May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low

 

Wind Discussion: Winds through Friday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph afternoons and evenings with stronger gusts, especially along the west side. Winds during the night and morning hours will be out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next week to possibly ten days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 83%/25%  Porterville, 91%/21%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today: 80%/. Tomorrow, 90%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.44, Parlier 1.33, Arvin 1.53, Orange Cove 1.37, Porterville .1.34, Delano 1.39. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 59, Parlier 64, Arvin, 67, Orange Cove 63, Porterville 70, Delano 65. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 77/47.  Record Temperatures: 98/36

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  46 +12. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -3.86.  Monthly  .30 -.63

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.40 or  -.55.  Monthly,  .39 +.15

Average Temperature this month: 62.5 +1.4  Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129,  Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 6:09, Sunset, 7:44, hours of daylight, 13:32

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  86 /  53 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  85 /  51 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  87 /  57 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  87 /  58 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  88 /  56 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  88 /  58 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  86 /  54 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  86 /  50 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                      24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.75    78    7.88    63    12.58    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    80    7.12    63    11.30    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    68    7.00    64    10.97    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.04    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    62    6.59    65    10.14    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    84    4.19    55     7.58     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    91    2.71    46     5.95     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   116    1.62    40     4.09     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    61    5.74    48    11.96    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    75    6.74    58    11.60    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    61    6.86    54    12.70    13.32

Next report: April 27

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.