May 4, 2022
Relatively strong upper level high pressure will be right above California during the next 48 hours. At the surface, there is a very weak off shore flow, just enough to combine for a very warm day as readings trend upwards to around 12 degrees above average. This puts most locations in the lower 90s today and Thursday. The high will flatten out Friday as a series of weak disturbances moves into the Pacific Northwest. This will deepen the marine layer along the coast, allowing it to surge through the Delta and down the valley Friday for the initiation of a cooling trend. By Tuesday of next week, the low to our north will dive into the Great Basin, resulting in a chance of light showers over the Sierra Nevada and even a slight chance of measurable rain over the valley floor Tuesday and Wednesday. The main impact, however, will be much cooler temperatures and increasing wind conditions. After Wednesday of next week, a trough of low pressure will be along the west coast, keeping temperatures marginally below average.
Forecast: Clear skies through Friday. Mostly clear Friday night through Monday. variable cloudiness Monday night through Wednesday with a slight chance of light showers Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 92/51/92/54/86 | Reedley 93/51/93/54/87 | Dinuba 91/51/92/54/86 |
| Porterville 93/51/92/55/88 | Lindsay 92/50/92/53/88 | Delano 93/54/93/56/89 |
| Bakersfield 91/62/93/63/87 | Taft 88/64/91/64/84 | Arvin 92/52/92/57/88 |
| Lamont 93/53/93/56/88 | Pixley 92/54/93/55/86 | Tulare 90/52/92/54/86 |
| Woodlake 91/50/93/53/85 | Hanford 92/54/92/56/87 | Orosi 91/51/92/53/86 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 50/85 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 45/82 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 43/74 |
Tuesday
Slight chance of showers 47/72 |
Wednesday
Slight chance of showers 43/71 |
Two Week Outlook: May 11 through May 17: This time around, the main storm track is projected to be moving through the Pacific Northwest with a northwesterly flow over California. This will result in marginally below average temperatures with little to no chance of precipitation.
May: This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.
May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low
Wind Discussion: There will be periods during the afternoons and evenings of winds mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph, increasing to 10 to 15 mph Friday and Saturday. During the night and morning hours, winds will mainly be light and variable through Thursday, becoming 10 to 20 mph Thursday night through Saturday.
Rain: Dry conditions will continue through at least Monday night. Models are by no means consistent on the pattern for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. it does appear a low will move in from the Pacific Northwest and into the Great Basin, spreading showers down the Sierra Nevada. This will result in a slight chance of scattered, light showers Tuesday through Wednesday, however for now we’ll have to emphasize the word “slight” as there’s an excellent chance the valley will remain dry.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 83%/28% Porterville, 87%/31%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 30s. Kern: Mid to upper 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.81, Parlier 1.64, Arvin 1.78, Orange Cove 1.71, Porterville .1.56, Delano 1.57. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 60, Parlier 66, Arvin, 69, Orange Cove 67, Porterville 74, Delano 71. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 79/52. Record Temperatures: 100/39
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 54 +0. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.01. Monthly .00 -.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.64. Monthly, .00 -.03
Average Temperature this month: 65.8 -0.2 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:01, Sunset, 7:51, hours of daylight, 13:48
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 80 / 47 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 79 / 51 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 79 / 58 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 79 / 49 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 80 / 47 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 78 / 57 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 78 / 53 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 78 / 52 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.75 76 7.88 62 12.76 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 78 7.12 62 11.47 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 67 7.00 63 11.15 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.17 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 61 6.59 64 10.30 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 82 4.29 56 7.69 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 89 2.77 46 6.04 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 115 1.62 39 4.14 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 60 5.74 47 12.09 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 74 6.74 58 11.69 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 61 6.86 53 12.84 13.32
Next report: May 5
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.