Forecast

May 14, 2022/report

May 14, 2022

Temperature at this hour are uniformly around 10 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Readings over the mountains are also substantially higher than yesterday at this time. The freezing level has jumped all the way up to 12,900 feet. Upper level high pressure this morning is centered southern Baja and a ridge is building northward into the western US. Temperatures will peak Sunday then begin to head south again Monday as a weak trough of low pressure displaces the high. This will allow the marine layer to deepen enough for the modified sea breeze to move all the way down the valley. Even so, temperatures will remain marginally above average. A new trough of low pressure will arrive next weekend, allowing temperature to again fall back to near seasonal. The main storm track will generally be in the Pacific Northwest for the upcoming week, which is typical for mid May.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday night. Mostly clear Wednesday through Saturday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 92/55/95/56/88 Reedley 91/54/95/56/86 Dinuba 90/54/95/55/85
Porterville 93/56/96/56/89 Lindsay 92/54/95/55/90 Delano 93/60/95/61/91
Bakersfield 92/65/95/64/89 Taft 89/68/92/65/87 Arvin 93/57/96/58/91
Lamont 94/61/96/59/90 Pixley 91/55/95/56/89 Tulare 91/53/95/56/88
Woodlake 92/54/95/56/89 Hanford 93/57/96/58/91 Orosi 91/54/95/56/89

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

52/88

Wednesday

Mostly clear

53/86

Thursday

Mostly clear

54/91

Friday

Mostly clear

51/89

Saturday

Mostly clear

51/84

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  May 21 through May 27: The storm track will move through the Pacific Northwest during this time frame with occasional showers as far south as northwest California. A flat zone of high pressure will be over southern California and off shore with central California being between these two features. Temperatures should be close to seasonal values with little chance of rain

 

May:  This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.

 

May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low

 

Wind Discussion: Winds today will be generally light this morning then out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph this afternoon and evening. Winds Sunday and Monday will be generally out of the northwest at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph possible during the afternoon and evening hours. Winds Tuesday will be generally out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 76%/21%  Porterville, 82%/25%. Midafternoon dew points:  Mid to upper 40s.  Mid to upper 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.81, Parlier 1.64, Arvin 1.62, Orange Cove 1.77, Porterville 1.55, Delano 1.56. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 62, Parlier 66, Arvin, 68, Orange Cove 68, Porterville 73, Delano 67. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 82/54.  Record Temperatures: 102/43

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  74 -9. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.16.  Monthly  .00 -.20

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.40 or  -.74.  Monthly,  .00 -.13

Average Temperature this month: 64.5 -2.4 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:51, Sunset, 8:00, hours of daylight, 14.07

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  85 /  50 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  85 /  44 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  85 /  51 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  83 /  50 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  84 /  48 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  80 /  49 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  81 /  47 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /  80 /  49 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  82 /  43 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.75    75    7.88    61    12.97    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    77    7.12    61    11.70    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    65    7.00    62    11.37    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.35    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    60    6.59    63    10.45    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    81    4.29    55     7.81     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    88    2.77    45     6.14     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   113    1.62    38     4.22     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    60    5.74    47    12.23    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    74    6.74    57    11.81    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    60    6.86    53    12.99    13.32

 

Next report: May 16

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.