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Forecast

June 8, 2022/report

June 8, 2022

low pressure just off the British Columbia coast is actually retrograding, meaning it’s moving northwestward into the Gulf of Alaska. This is allowing high pressure currently over the Desert Southwest to link up with another high off the southern California coast. This high is actually expanding northward now into the Pacific Northwest. The air aloft is considerably warmer now. The latest freezing level was pegged at 15,200 feet above Oakland according to the latest balloon sounding. There is some modified marine air moving into the Delta. However, there’s not enough difference in pressure to move it all the way down the valley. Thus, readings in the mid d90s will be commonplace this afternoon followed by upper 90s Thursday. The real heat will set in Friday and Saturday as high resolution models indicate readings in the 102 to 106 degree range will be possible both days. This will be a short lived heat wave, however. As that same low in the Gulf of Alaska digs a trough of low pressure southward through the Pacific Northwest and northern California Sunday and Monday, a significant cooling trend will be felt. Some models project highs in the upper 80s by Tuesday. Upper level high pressure will try to reestablish its grip Thursday and Friday of next week for the next warming trend.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Tuesday with a cooling trend. Mostly clear Wednesday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 95/60/99/66/105 Reedley 96/62/99/68/104 Dinuba 95/62/99/68/103
Porterville 96/62/99/68/105 Lindsay 95/61/99/64/104 Delano 96/65/99/68/105
Bakersfield 94/70/96/73/104 Taft 93/71/95/75/102 Arvin 97/62/99/65/105
Lamont 96/62/99/67/106 Pixley 95/62/98/64/103 Tulare 93/61/97/62/102
Woodlake 96/62/99/66/103 Hanford 95/65/99/68/104 Orosi 93/65/98/67/103

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

68/104

Sunday

Mostly clear

65/103

Monday

Mostly clear

57/95

Tuesday

Mostly clear

55/89

Wednesday

Mostly clear

57/94

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 14 through June 20: This model puts California between two main features. The first is a low center over the Pacific Northwest and off shore. The second is a high center over Texas and the Desert Southwest. Neither system will be dominant so near average temperatures can be expected with little to no chance of precipitation.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph with locally stronger gusts. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 69%/23%  Porterville, 77%/23%. Midafternoon dew points:  Upper 40s to the lower 50s.  Kern:  Upper 40s to the lower 50s

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.22, Parlier 1.95, Arvin 2.13, Orange Cove 2.11, Porterville 1.84, Delano 1.85. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 75, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 78, Porterville 83, Delano NA. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 89/59.  Record Temperatures: 108/47

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  313 +46. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.47.  Monthly  .00 -.09

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.40 or  -.88.  Monthly,  .00 -.02

Average Temperature this month: 76.4. +3.0 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:40, Sunset, 8:16, hours of daylight, 14.37

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  95 /  57 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  95 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  95 /  58 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  96 /  51 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  92 /  66 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  94 /  56 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /  59 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  94 /  57 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1600 /  93 /  66 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    74    7.88    59    13.31    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    59    12.11    12.27
  3. MERCED                00    7.44    64    7.00    60    11.69    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.67    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    61    10.76    10.99
  6. HANFORD   00    6.34    79    4.29    53     8.03     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.40    86    2.77    44     6.28     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   108    1.62    37     4.39     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    59    5.75    46    12.45    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    73    6.74    56    11.98    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.17    13.32

Next report: June 9

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.