June 8, 2022
low pressure just off the British Columbia coast is actually retrograding, meaning it’s moving northwestward into the Gulf of Alaska. This is allowing high pressure currently over the Desert Southwest to link up with another high off the southern California coast. This high is actually expanding northward now into the Pacific Northwest. The air aloft is considerably warmer now. The latest freezing level was pegged at 15,200 feet above Oakland according to the latest balloon sounding. There is some modified marine air moving into the Delta. However, there’s not enough difference in pressure to move it all the way down the valley. Thus, readings in the mid d90s will be commonplace this afternoon followed by upper 90s Thursday. The real heat will set in Friday and Saturday as high resolution models indicate readings in the 102 to 106 degree range will be possible both days. This will be a short lived heat wave, however. As that same low in the Gulf of Alaska digs a trough of low pressure southward through the Pacific Northwest and northern California Sunday and Monday, a significant cooling trend will be felt. Some models project highs in the upper 80s by Tuesday. Upper level high pressure will try to reestablish its grip Thursday and Friday of next week for the next warming trend.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Tuesday with a cooling trend. Mostly clear Wednesday.
Short Term:
Madera 95/60/99/66/105 | Reedley 96/62/99/68/104 | Dinuba 95/62/99/68/103 |
Porterville 96/62/99/68/105 | Lindsay 95/61/99/64/104 | Delano 96/65/99/68/105 |
Bakersfield 94/70/96/73/104 | Taft 93/71/95/75/102 | Arvin 97/62/99/65/105 |
Lamont 96/62/99/67/106 | Pixley 95/62/98/64/103 | Tulare 93/61/97/62/102 |
Woodlake 96/62/99/66/103 | Hanford 95/65/99/68/104 | Orosi 93/65/98/67/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
Saturday
Mostly clear 68/104 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 65/103 |
Monday
Mostly clear 57/95 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 55/89 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 57/94 |
Two Week Outlook: June 14 through June 20: This model puts California between two main features. The first is a low center over the Pacific Northwest and off shore. The second is a high center over Texas and the Desert Southwest. Neither system will be dominant so near average temperatures can be expected with little to no chance of precipitation.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph with locally stronger gusts. Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 69%/23% Porterville, 77%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.22, Parlier 1.95, Arvin 2.13, Orange Cove 2.11, Porterville 1.84, Delano 1.85. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 69, Parlier 75, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 78, Porterville 83, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59. Record Temperatures: 108/47
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 313 +46. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.47. Monthly .00 -.09
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.88. Monthly, .00 -.02
Average Temperature this month: 76.4. +3.0 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:40, Sunset, 8:16, hours of daylight, 14.37
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 95 / 57 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DHM / M / M / M /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 95 / 64 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 95 / 58 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 96 / 51 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 92 / 66 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 94 / 56 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 59 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 94 / 57 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1600 / 93 / 66 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 74 7.88 59 13.31 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 59 12.11 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 64 7.00 60 11.69 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.67 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 61 10.76 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.03 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 86 2.77 44 6.28 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 108 1.62 37 4.39 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.45 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 11.98 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.17 13.32
Next report: June 9
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.