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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
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Forecast

June 27, 2022/report

June 27, 2022

Strong upper level high pressure is centered over southern Nevada this morning. At the surface, pressure is higher over the interior west than off shore. The current altimeter reading at Salt Lake City was 30.21 inches of mercury while at the same time, the reading at San Francisco was 30.05. even though the pressure difference is pretty minor, it is enough to keep the marine layer very shallow. In fact, the sounding above Monterey this morning indicated the marine layer was only 1,100 feet deep, which has been pretty steady the past few days. The bottom line to all this means very hot weather. Highs today will generally range between 103 and 108. Minor cooling will occur Tuesday and Wednesday as the high slowly weakens. Even so, it appears triple digits will occur through Thursday. Finally, beginning Friday, a low pressure system off the Pacific Northwest will begin to push inland, lowering temperatures into  double digits over the weekend. The winds aloft will remain out of the southwest, ensuring the monsoon over the Desert Southwest remains over that region through the period. If it’s any consolation, models for next week indicate near to marginally below average temperatures.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday and less hot.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 106/64/104/64/103 Reedley 106/65/105/64/103 Dinuba 105/66/104/64/103
Porterville 107/66/105/64/104 Lindsay 105/63/104/63/103 Delano 107/67/105/65/104
Bakersfield 106/76/105/75/102 Taft 105/79/103/77/102 Arvin 108/72/105/72/102
Lamont 107/73/105/72/104 Pixley 106/67/104/67/103 Tulare 104/64/104/63/103
Woodlake 104/63/104/62/103 Hanford 107/66/105/64/104 Orosi 104/63/103/62/103

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

63/101

Friday

Mostly clear

61/98

Saturday

Mostly clear

57/96

Sunday

Mostly clear

57/95

Monday

Mostly clear

58/92

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 30 through July 6  This model is indicating a trough of low pressure will be more dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western US. A west to southwest flow aloft will be dominant, maintaining dry weather with below average temperatures.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Thursday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to no more than 10 mph.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 65%/24% Porterville, 65%/27%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s..  Kern: Upper Mid to upper 40s.. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today : 30%/. Tomorrow, 70%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.30, Parlier 2.04  Arvin 2.21, Orange Cove 2.28, Porterville 2.10, Delano 1.93. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable

Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 70, Parlier 77, Arvin 77, Orange Cove 82, Porterville 86, Delano NA.

Average Temperatures: 95/64.  Record Temperatures: 110/51

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  526 +70. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.61.  Monthly  .T -.23

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.41 or  -.90.  Monthly,  .01 -.04

Average Temperature this month: 77.0 +1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:41, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.40

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 103 /  65 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 106 /  62 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 107 /  72 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 105 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 106 /  63 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 / 104 /  75 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 103 /  63 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 104 /  66 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 / 104 /  76 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.35    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    58    12.19    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80
  4. MADERA                     00    2.21    21    1.56    15    10.75    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    60    10.90    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    79    4.29    53     8.07     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD        00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   107    1.62    36     4.46     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    59    5.75    46    12.48    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00   8.70    73    6.74    56    12.00    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.20    13.32

Next report: June 28

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.