June 30, 2022
A weak trough of low pressure off the coast of the Pacific Northwest will strengthen over the next few days, resulting in a cooling trend. Readings will slowly come down each day, by this weekend they will have fallen below average. This will give us a nice summer respite from the heat. The marine layer has deepened considerably over the past 24 hours. According to the naval installation at Monterey, the depth of the marine layer has gone from near 1,000 feet yesterday to 2,200 feet this morning. Pressure is lower over the valley than off shore. For example, the current altimeter reading at San Francisco is 30.03 inches of mercury while at Fresno the reading is 29.94. That’s not a big difference in pressure but should be enough to tug modified marine air down the valley. Most locations will be below the century mark today then will fall into the mid 90s Friday and the low to mid 90s Saturday. The trough will make its move inland Monday and Tuesday. High resolution models are indicating many locations may not even reach the 90 degree mark Monday and Tuesday, resulting in perfect weather for the Fourth of July. Looking down the road to Wednesday and beyond, upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest will again expand northward and westward for our next warming trend which may allow us to revisit triple digits as we close in on next weekend. This weather note as well. Debris clouds from a former tropical storm are off the southern California coast and are becoming entrained in a southwesterly flow aloft. These clouds will move over southern California over the next 36 hours and some may become visible over the south valley later today through Friday.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Sunday except for occasional cloudiness later today through Friday in the south valley. Mostly clear Sunday night through Thursday with a cooling trend through Tuesday.
Short Term:
Madera 97/56/96/56/94 | Reedley 99/57/97/55/95 | Dinuba 98/56/97/55/95 |
Porterville 99/57/97/57/96 | Lindsay 98/55/97/54/95 | Delano 99/59/97/58/96 |
Bakersfield 99/69/96/67/94 | Taft 98/70/95/68/94 | Arvin 100/64/97/62/95 |
Lamont 99/65/96/63/94 | Pixley 99/59/97/57/94 | Tulare 98/57/97/56/94 |
Woodlake 98/56/97/55/95 | Hanford 99/58/97/56/95 | Orosi 98/56/97/55/95 |
Seven Day Forecast
Sunday
Mostly clear 55/95 |
Monday
Mostly clear 54/89 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 55/89 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 54/90 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 60/93 |
Two Week Outlook: July 7 through July 13 A broad expanse of high pressure centered over the Desert Southwest will move back overhead during this period for above average temperatures. Monsoon moisture may trigger afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional clouds over the valley floor.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph through Sunday. Gusts to near 25 mph are possible, mainly along the west side but locally elsewhere.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 67%/15% Porterville, 64%/15%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.. Kern: Mid to upper 30s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.46, Parlier 2.14 Arvin 2.39, Orange Cove 2.41, Porterville 2.18, Delano 2.02. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable.
Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 79, Arvin 78, Orange Cove 82, Porterville 89, Delano 84.
Average Temperatures: 96/64. Record Temperatures: 112/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 608 +97. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.62. Monthly .T -.24
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.90. Monthly, .01 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 78.4 +2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:44, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.38
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 100 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 102 / 62 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 71 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 104 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 103 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 100 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 102 / 64 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1645 / 101 / 76 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 96 / M / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.75 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.91 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.07 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 106 1.62 36 4.48 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.49 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 12.00 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.21 13.32
Next report: July 1
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.