Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

July 8, 2022/report

Trudy Hibler

July 8, 2022

On this day in 1905, it was 114 in Bakersfield and 115 in Fresno, the hottest day on record for Fresno. The upper 90s which we will experience the next few days will feel like an arctic blast in comparison. Low pressure is oriented from northeast to southwest from British Columbia to off the northern California coast. The main center of strong upper level high pressure is over Texas and Oklahoma with its western edge in southern California. Blended model information this morning indicates the high will slowly retrograde towards the west coast with its center ending up over Arizona and Utah by Tuesday. In the short term, double digit temperatures will continue  through Sunday with most locations huddled into the upper 90s. As the high strengthens early next week, temperatures will respond accordingly with widespread triple digits beginning Tuesday and possibly a few 100 degree readings as early as Monday. the latest sounding above Monterey indicates the marine layer is only 1,000 feet deep. Some of the shallow sea breeze is leaking through the Delta, however the difference in pressure between the coast and the interior is not enough to tug it into the central and south valley. The winds aloft by Tuesday will become southerly to possibly even southeasterly, drawing a minimal amount of monsoon moisture up the Sierra  Nevada for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high country during the afternoons and evenings. Occasional clouds can be expected from Tuesday through Thursday of next week over the valley floor. Again, triple digit heat will be a way of life from Tuesday through possibly the following weekend.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Monday. mostly clear and hot Monday night  through Friday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 97/59/98/60/99 Reedley 98/60/98/62/99 Dinuba 96/58/97/60/97
Porterville 98/59/97/61/98 Lindsay 97/58/97/60/97 Delano 98/65/98/65/99
Bakersfield 97/71/97/71/98 Taft 97/71/97/70/98 Arvin 99/64/98/63/99
Lamont 98/64/98/64/99 Pixley 98/61/98/61/98 Tulare 97/58/97/59/98
Woodlake 97/57/97/60/99 Hanford 97/62/98/63/99 Orosi 96/58/97/59/99

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

62/99

 Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/103

 Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/104

 Thursday

Mostly clear

66/105

 Friday

Mostly clear

65/105

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 14 through July 20  This model continues to indicate upper level high pressure will be over much of the western states with an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest. It’s possible some of this moisture may leak into southern and central California for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high Sierra and occasional cloud cover over the valley floor. Temperatures will remain somewhat above average with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June:  This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.

 

June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 74%/36% Porterville, 83%/36%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 50s to the lower 60s.  Kern: Low to mid 60s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.12, Parlier 1.94 Arvin 2.13, Orange Cove 2.16, Porterville 1.91, Delano 1.86. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable. 

Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 76, Arvin 79, Orange Cove 87, Porterville 88, Delano 83.

Average Temperatures: 97/66.  Record Temperatures: 115/51

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  733 +88. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.29 or -4.62.  Monthly  .00 -.01

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.41 or  -.90.  Monthly,  ..00

Average Temperature this month: 77.5 -2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter,  Stratford, Delano, Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 5:48, Sunset, 8:20, hours of daylight, 14.33

Yesterday’s Weather:

CE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  92 /  60 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  92 /  60 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  93 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  93 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  95 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  92 /  67 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  91 /  63 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  93 /  63 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1649 /  91 /  82 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  91 /  59 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                                   24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

  1. STOCKTON 00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.36    13.45
  2. MODESTO 00    8.99    74    7.12    58    12.20    12.27
  3. MERCED 00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80
  4. MADERA 00       M     M       M     M    10.75    10.79
  5. FRESNO 00    6.29    58    6.59    60    10.92    10.99
  6. HANFORD 00    6.34    78    4.29    53     8.08     8.13
  7. BAKERSFIELD 00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36
  8. BISHOP 00    4.75   105    1.62    36     4.52     4.84
  9. SALINAS 00    7.31    59    5.79    46    12.49    12.58
  10. PASO ROBLES 00 8.70    72    6.74    56    12.01    12.15
  11. SANTA MARIA 00 7.79    59    6.87    52    13.22    13.32

Next report: July 9

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.