July 12, 2022
Central California continues to be on a balancing act between strong upper level high pressure centered over the Four Corners region and a trough of low pressure off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. Currently, the high is winning out, resulting in widespread triple digit temperatures. The freezing level has risen to 17,400 feet. Mountain locations continue to reflect the warm air at higher locations as well. As of 4:00am, the temperature at Sandberg at 4,100 feet was 67 degrees while at Blue Canyon at 5,600 feet a reading of 68 degrees was recorded. The marine layer has actually deepened a tad with a depth of 1,800 feet at Monterey. There will be some cooling in the Delta region, but at this time there’s not enough difference in pressure between the coast and the interior to tug that sea breeze down the valley. Models do show the high shifting a bit further east Wednesday only to see the high jog further west again Friday and over the weekend. The flow aloft, which is currently out of the southwest will be out of the southeast Friday and over the weekend, possibly moving enough monsoon moisture up the Sierra Nevada for a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the summit. The GFS model shows a tropical storm moving up the coast of Baja next week with a chance of showers and thunderstorms over southern California. However, that’s the odd model out so we’ll maintain a forecast of the usual hot, dry conditions for the valley.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Saturday. Mostly clear and continued hot Saturday night through Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 104/63/101/63/103 | Reedley 104/64/102/64/103 | Dinuba 102/62/101/62/102 |
| Porterville 104/63/101/64/104 | Lindsay 103/62/101/62/104 | Delano 105/64/102/64/105 |
| Bakersfield 104/74/102/74/103 | Taft 102/73/100/74/102 | Arvin 105/63/102/66/104 |
| Lamont 104/68/101/68/105 | Pixley 103/63/101/64/103 | Tulare 103/61/101/62/103 |
| Woodlake 103/62/101/63/103 | Hanford 104/64/101/65/104 | Orosi 102/62/101/62/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 66/104 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 68/105 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 67/105 |
Monday
Mostly clear 67/104 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/103 |
Two Week Outlook: July 19 through July 25 This model shows upper level high pressure shifting a bit further east, allowing temperatures to move to somewhat near seasonal levels. Typical dry conditions will continue.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Friday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, NA%/NA% Porterville, NA%/NA%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today : 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.17, Parlier 1.99 Arvin 2.14, Orange Cove 2.15, Porterville 1.91, Delano 1.87. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=noavailable.
Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 78, Arvin 79, Orange Cove na, Porterville 89, Delano 84.
Average Temperatures: 98/66. Record Temperatures: 109/54
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 804 +95. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.63. Monthly .00 -.01
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.90. Monthly, ..00
Average Temperature this month: 79.3 -1.1 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:50, Sunset, 8:19, hours of daylight, 14.31
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 104 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 104 / 65 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 72 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 104 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 105 / 63 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 103 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 101 / 65 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 69 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 103 / 66 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / 102 / 79 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 103 / 69 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.75 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.92 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 78 4.29 53 8.08 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 105 1.62 36 4.52 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.79 46 12.49 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.01 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.22 13.32
Next report: July 13
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.