July 19, 2022
The classic summertime configuration of upper level high pressure centered over the Four Corners region continues this morning. Mid and high level moisture from the monsoon continues to rotate clockwise around the high and into California. Most of the latest batch of moisture is moving north of roughly Merced County so considerably more sunshine will bake the valley this afternoon. Satellite imagery shows plenty of moisture over Baja which will begin to rotate into southern California late today and tonight. However, the winds aloft over central California may turn south/southwest, keeping the bulk of the moisture just to the east. With more sunshine today, temperatures will again soar well above the century make. Triple digits will continue through Friday then will slowly lower into the lower 100s and possibly even the upper 90s at some locations this weekend and into the early part of next week. models depict a strong high over California late next week which could potentially drive temperatures into the 105 to 110 degree range, however that’s still a week and a half away so we’ll have to wait and see if this trend continues.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Friday. Mostly clear and a little cooler Friday night through Monday. mostly clear and hot Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 106/66/107/67/105 | Reedley 107/68/106/68/105 | Dinuba 106/65/106/64/104 |
| Porterville 105/66/106/65/105 | Lindsay 105/64/106/65/105 | Delano 107/67/107/66/106 |
| Bakersfield 105/79/104/77/103 | Taft 105/80/104/79/104 | Arvin 107/74/107/73/105 |
| Lamont 106/72/106/70/105 | Pixley 105/68/105/67/104 | Tulare 104/65/104/64/104 |
| Woodlake 105/65/104/64/104 | Hanford 107/68/108/66/105 | Orosi 104/64/104/63/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 65/104 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 64/101 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 64/100 |
Monday
Mostly clear 63/101 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 64/102 |
Two Week Outlook: July 25 through July 31 This model continues to show well above average temperatures during this period. It also shows a better than even chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms over the southern California deserts and possibly up the Sierra Nevada. The usual dry conditions will continue over the valley floor.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Friday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 57%/17% Porterville, 65%/18%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.25, Parlier 2.01, Arvin 2.30, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 2.04, Delano 1.99. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 76, Parlier 81, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 92, Delano 87. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/70. Record Temperatures: 112/54
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 957 +135. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.99 or -3.47. Monthly .00 -.25
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 82.2 +1.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:55, Sunset, 8:15, hours of daylight, 14:21
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 106 / 76 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 103 / 72 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 104 / 78 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 104 / 74 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 104 / 72 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 106 / 82 / T /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 102 / 73 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 105 / 72 / T /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.56 14 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.93 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.34 78 4.29 53 8.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 4.75 104 1.62 36 4.56 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 59 5.79 46 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.03 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.22 13.32
Next report: July 20
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.