August 3, 2022
Strong upper level high pressure over the Four Corners area of the Desert Southwest continues to be the governing factor in our weather. Moisture from the monsoon continues to work mainly into southern California, but chunks of cloud cover continue to rotate northward into central California, as well. Daytime heating will continue to trigger thunderstorms over the southern Sierra Nevada through Thursday. Blended model information indicates the flow will become more southwesterly as we close in on the weekend. This will begin to nudge the flow from the monsoon further east, ending the daily round of thunderstorms over the southern Sierra Nevada. Satellite imagery is showing a chunk of monsoonal moisture moving into southern California which will move into central California later today. Blended model indicates a few sprinkles could even occur over the valley floor, but nothing measurable is anticipated. Models encompassing the weakened and later next week indicate a dry southwesterly flow for mostly clear skies. Temperatures will slowly come down into the upper 90s this weekend with upper 90s to lower 100s through the middle of next week.
Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy this morning. Variable clouds this afternoon and tonight with a slight chance of sprinkles. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Thursday through Friday. Mostly clear Friday night through Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 101/71/103/73/101 | Reedley 102/72/103/72/101 | Dinuba 101/70/102/71/100 |
| Porterville 103/71/103/73/101 | Lindsay 102/69/103/69/99 | Delano 102/73/102/72/103 |
| Bakersfield 102/82/102/80/99 | Taft 101/81/102/81/100 | Arvin 103/77/103/76/100 |
| Lamont 103/77/103/75/100 | Pixley 102/71/102/73/99 | Tulare 101/70/102/70/99 |
| Woodlake 101/72/101/71/98 | Hanford 102/75/101/73/101 | Orosi 101/71/102/72/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 66/100
|
Sunday
Mostly clear 67/99 |
Monday
Mostly clear 67/99 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 66/98 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/99 |
Two Week Outlook: August 7 through August 13 This model is showing a very active monsoon through the entire period with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra. There will be periods of variable amounts of mid and high level clouds over the valley floor from time to time.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.
Rain: Satellite imagery at this hour is showing an area of cloud cover over southern California which is the latest manifestation of the monsoon. This batch of clouds will move through central California this afternoon and tonight. Blended model information indicates the clouds may be dense enough for a few sprinkles later this afternoon and tonight. The chance of measurable rain at any given location is extremely low. Dry weather returns Thursday with dry weather Thursday night and for the next week thereafter. The monsoon will shift further east this coming weekend and through the middle of next week. the monsoon may return by next weekend, however it’s much too soon to even mention precipitation in the medium or longer term.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 70%/29% Porterville, 76%/30%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 50s to the lower 60s. Kern: Upper 50s to the lower 60s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 70%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.03, Parlier 1.88, Arvin 2.14, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.78, Delano 1.82. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 81, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 93, Delano 88. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66. Record Temperatures: 110/55
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1279 +208. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.65. Monthly .T -.03
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 87.3 +6.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:07, Sunset, 8:02, hours of daylight, 13:56
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 101 / 73 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 99 / 70 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 101 / 78 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 102 / 77 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 103 / 74 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 101 / 78 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 100 / 74 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 100 / 74 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 104 / 78 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 100 / 81 / 0.00
- /Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO T 00 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA T M M M M 76 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 57 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 78 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.92 106 1.68 36 4.66 4.84
- SALINAS T 31 58 5.79 46 12.50 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.08 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 4
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.