August 13, 2022
Upper level high pressure is centered over the Texas pan handle this morning. The extreme western rim of the high is over central California. This will drive temperatures to near the 100 degree mark and above that mark beginning Sunday and lasting for several days. The monsoon’s flow is just to our east and southeast and is moving through Inyo and Imperial Counties. Models show the high expanding into California Sunday and, as it does, the monsoon will shift further west with it for an increasing chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada and the mountains and deserts of southern California. Models for the period beginning Monday indicate the valley will be between 102 and 106 degrees. Cloud cover may be heavy enough to blunt temperatures a bit, but the bottom line is we’re heading into another round of hot weather. By Wednesday, this high will cover the entire western US with the northern portion of the high pushing into western Canada. On any given day from Tuesday on, sprinkles could occur if a good chunk of moisture moves through. However, the chance of rain at any given location will continue to be extremely low.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies today and tonight. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday and Sunday night. Variable cloudiness at times Monday through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 99/64/100/66/102 | Reedley 100/64/101/66/103 | Dinuba 99/63/101/66/103 |
| Porterville 100/64/101/66/103 | Lindsay 99/62/100/65/102 | Delano 100/68/101/69/103 |
| Bakersfield 100/74/101/75/102 | Taft 99/73/101/75/103 | Arvin 101/68/102/69/103 |
| Lamont 100/70/101/72/103 | Pixley 99/65/100/67/102 | Tulare 98/63/99/65/101 |
| Woodlake 99/63/100/66/103 | Hanford 100/66/101/68/103 | Orosi 98/63/100/65/102 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Variable clouds 70/103 |
Wednesday
Variable clouds 72/105 |
Thursday
Variable clouds 73/105 |
Friday
Variable clouds 72/104 |
Saturday
Variable clouds 74/104 |
Two Week Outlook: August 18 through August 25 This model shows a continuation of an active monsoon season over the Desert Southwest and occasionally California with daily chances of thunderstorms over the mountains and partly cloudy skies over the valley. Above average temperatures will continue.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Tuesday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Models continue to show a southeast flow developing beginning Sunday and lasting through much of next week. moisture in Arizona and northwest Mexico will rotate northwestward into California from time to time. Sprinkles could occur at any time next week, assuming the cloud canopy is deep enough. However, the chance of rain at any given location will remain very small.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 67%/23% Porterville, 67%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 70%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 60%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.06, Parlier 1.86, Arvin 2.07, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.72, Delano 1.76. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 82, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 92, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 97/65. Record Temperatures: 112/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1473 +244. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.00 +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.7 +4.0 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:15, Sunset, 7:51, hours of daylight, 13:37
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 97 / 59 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 99 / 59 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 101 / 68 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 100 / 66 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 100 / 62 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 97 / 69 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 98 / 62 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / 89 / 67 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 98 / 64 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1651 / 96 / 73 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 96 / M / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M 1.56 14 10.76 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 5.63 120 1.68 36 4.69 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.51 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 15
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.