August 20, 2022
Upper level high pressure stretches from one center over Wyoming westward to another center off the central coast with a warm bubble of subsiding air above us. Temperatures will continue to soar into triple digits. Temperatures yesterday ranged from 102 at Visalia to 108 at Lemoore. Expect similar conditions today. Temperatures may drop a degree or two Sunday through Tuesday but will still remain above the 100 degree mark due to a weak low moving through the Pacific Northwest. After that system moves through, a massive high will build over the western US, continuing hot weather for the remainder of next week. models show limited amounts of moisture from the monsoon moving up the Sierra Nevada. That, combined with intense daytime heating should be enough for isolated thunderstorms afternoons and evenings over the back country. Even the two week model is indicating the continuation of well above average temperatures for the remainder of August. Hopefully the pattern will change in September to give us a break in what has been a long, hot summer.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Tuesday. Mostly clear and continued hot Tuesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 104/65/104/65/103 | Reedley 106/66/105/66/103 | Dinuba 104/65/104/64/102 |
| Porterville 105/65/105/66/103 | Lindsay 104/64/104/63/102 | Delano 107/67/105/67/103 |
| Bakersfield 105/78/104/76/102 | Taft 106/78/105/78/102 | Arvin 107/71/107/72/105 |
| Lamont 107/73/105/73/103 | Pixley 105/68/104/68/102 | Tulare 103/65/103/64/102 |
| Woodlake 103/64/103/63/102 | Hanford 106/65/105/66/103 | Orosi 104/64/104/63/102 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 65/103 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 67/102 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 68/104 |
Friday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 68/102 |
Two Week Outlook: August 26 through September 1: This model shows the monsoon moving slightly to our east, reducing the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. The trend of above average temperatures this August will continue.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Tuesday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 68%/18% Porterville, 76%/19%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.10, Parlier 1.82, Arvin 2.18, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.85. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 79, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 91, Delano 83. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 96/65. Record Temperatures: 108/54
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1588 +269. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.00 +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.5 +4.0 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:21, Sunset, 7:42, hours of daylight, 13:23
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced AP 153 : M / M / 00 /
- MAE : Madera AP 253 : 106 / 63 / 00 /
- FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 107 / 76 / 00 /
- HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 106 / 66 / 00 /
- NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 108 / 65 / 00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 104 / 75 / 00 /
- VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 102 / 66 / 00 /
- PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 103 / 70 / 00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 5.63 120 1.69 36 4.70 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.52 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 22
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.