Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

August 24, 2022/report

August 24, 2022

California is essentially clear this morning with the exception of the usual fog and low clouds along the coast. The depth of the marine layer at Monterey is around 1,500 feet deep. Today will be the hottest in the series as upper level high pressure resides over northern California. This high is slowly shifting eastward and will eventually find its home over the Four Corners region, which is typical for late summer. Readings today will range from about 102 to 106 at most locations then will slowly begin to drop Thursday and Friday, but more especially over the weekend when a low moves through the Pacific Northwest, increasing the onshore flow and allowing modified marine air to move down the valley. Temperatures by Sunday will lower into double digits and, with some luck, will be in the mid 90s by Monday and Tuesday. Medium range models beyond Wednesday of next week show the high building back in from the southeast for our next warming trend.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Sunday and continued hot. Mostly clear and not as hot Sunday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 103/63/102/63/101 Reedley 105/64/104/63/102 Dinuba 104/62/103/63/102
Porterville 103/65/102/63/101 Lindsay 104/64/103/62/102 Delano 105/67/103/65/102
Bakersfield 105/78/103/76/101 Taft 105/78/102/77/101 Arvin 106/72/104/71/102
Lamont 106/72/103/71/101 Pixley 105/65/103/67/101 Tulare 103/64/102/62/101
Woodlake 102/67/101/65/100 Hanford 106/65/103/64/102 Orosi 103/62/102/61/101

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

67/101

Sunday

Mostly clear

62/98

Monday

Mostly clear

59/93

Tuesday

Mostly clear

61/95

Wednesday

Mostly clear

63/98

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 26 through September 4:  This model shows the monsoon moving slightly to our east, reducing the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. The trend of above average temperatures this August will continue.

 

August:  This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.

 

August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Saturday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.

 

Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 74%/21%  Porterville, 76%/26%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 90%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.05, Parlier 1.80, Arvin 2.17, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.78, Delano 1.84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 80, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 92, Delano 83. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 96/64. Record Temperatures: 112/51

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1686 +295. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.34 or -4.60.  Monthly  ..05 +.05

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.01 or  -.55.  Monthly,  -.T +.00

Average Temperature this month: 84.4 +4.1 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, ,  Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 6:24, Sunset, 7:31, hours of daylight, 13:14

Yesterday’s Weather:

 

  • MCE : Merced AP        153 : 101 /  67 /  00 /
  • MAE : Madera AP        253 : 102 /  67 /  00 /
  • FAT : Fresno AP        333 : 103 /  76 /  00 /
  • HJO : Hanford AP       242 : 103 /  71 /  00 /
  • NLC : Lemoore NAS      234 : 103 /  69 /  00 /
  • BFL : Bakersfield AP   496 : 100 /  80 /  00 /
  • VIS : Visalia AP       292 : 101 /  67 /  00 /
  • PTV : Porterville AP   442 : 101 /  72 /  00 /
  • Rainfall: 24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave         ave  365

STOCKTON                      0.00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.37    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    9.00    74    7.12    58    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.34    58    6.59    60    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    6.36    79    4.29    53     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    5.64   120    1.69    36     4.71     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    7.31    58    5.79    46    12.52    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    8.70    72    6.74    56    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    7.79    59    6.87    52    13.24    13.32

Next report: August 25

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.