October 17, 2022
Yesterday, highs were in the upper 70s to near 80, meaning we actually returned to near average for a change. Today will show a marginal increase in temperatures due to the heavy influx of marine air slowly mixing out. A low pressure trough is approaching the coast. However, forecast charts do not really show it moving inland. Instead, it’s projected to morph into a closed low too far off shore to result in milder temperatures. In fact, hottest locations will be pushing 90 as early as Thursday afternoon. In the meantime, a weak ridge of high pressure will be over California and much of the west through the weekend. It appears our next major change will occur later next week as a cold trough of low pressure zips southward from the Gulf of Alaska, through the Pacific Northwest and then through the northern Rocky Mountain region and the Pacific Northwest. It will, however, lead to a significant cooling trend. With some luck, readings will dive well down into the 70s by Monday.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 82/53/86/55/88 | Reedley 82/52/87/54/89 | Dinuba 80/51/86/54/87 |
| Porterville 82/54/87/55/89 | Lindsay 81/53/87/54/88 | Delano 81/54/86/55/89 |
| Bakersfield 81/61/87/64/87 | Taft 80/63/85/65/86 | Arvin 82/59/87/61/86 |
| Lamont 82/58/87/60/89 | Pixley 82/54/86/57/86 | tulare 81/52/85/54/87 |
| Woodlake 80/53/87/54/88 | Hanford 82/53/87/56/89 | Orosi 80/52/86/54/87 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Thursday
Mostly clear 57/88 |
Friday
Mostly clear 57/90 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 56/88 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 54/87 |
Monday
Mostly clear 57/85 |
Two Week Outlook: October 24 through October 30: This model shows a broad trough of low pressure over the west for a chance of showers during this period. Temperatures will finally end up below average.
October: This model is really a flip of the coin as far as precipitation is concerned and shows no real bias for above or below average rainfall. It does indicate somewhat above average temperatures will continue.
October, November, December: This model definitely has a bias for above average temperatures for the next 90 days. It also points to above average rainfall for northern California with below average precipitation for southern California. With that in mind, that gives California near average precipitation.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally variable to no more than 10 mph during the late mornings and afternoons through Thursday. Winds during the overnight hours will be generally no more than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry weather for a at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 96%46%, Porterville, 87%/46%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.21, Parlier .99, Arvin 1.23, Porterville 1.03, Delano 1.03. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 72, Parlier 71, Arvin, 75, Porterville 70, Delano NA. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 78/52. Record Temperatures: 97/36
Heating Degree Days This Season. 0 -26. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .00 -.19, Monthly .,00 -.19
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .00 or -.08. Monthly, -.00 -.08
Average Temperature this month: 74.33 +6.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:09, Sunset, 6:18, hours of daylight, 11:11
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 77 / 52 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 78 / 49 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 80 / 56 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 80 / 54 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 80 / 68 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 78 / 57 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 79 / 52 / 0.00 /
- ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1643 / 79 / 53 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 80 / 53 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1649 / 77 / 59 / 0.00 /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
24h sea. % L.Y % ave. 365
STOCKTON M M M M M M 13.45
MODESTO M M M M M M 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 0.04 18 0.22 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.05 33 0.15 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.40 211 0.19 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.06 35 0.17 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.08 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.18 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.22 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.01 5 0.19 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.17 13.32
Next report: Tuesday, October 18
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.