Updates
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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

October 24, 2022 report

October 24, 2022

Finally, the air mass settling over central California is more seasonal. Coldest ag stations this morning have dipped into the mid to upper 30s, ranging to the mid to upper 40s, mainly in Kern County. The air aloft is certainly cooler than recent standards. The freezing level over Oakland a short time ago stood at 7,600 feet. The weather this week will be quiet, but no big warm up is anticipated. Currently, there’s a weak upper high moving in from the west. This high is rather flat and every few days a system will move through the Pacific Northwest followed by a bounce back of weak high pressure. Really, the only real impact will be a warming of temperatures one day followed by two days of cooler weather, and so the story goes. Medium range models aren’t showing anything too exciting. For now, it appears the remainder of October will be rain free with pleasant temperatures.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 73/39/76/41/72 Reedley 74/38/75/39/72 Dinuba 73/37/74/37/71
Porterville 75/39/76/39/73 Lindsay 74/36/75/38/73 Delano 75/40/76/41/74
Bakersfield 73/51/75/51/71 Taft 73/53/74/53/70 Arvin 75/42/76/42/73
Lamont 75/42/76/42/73 Pixley 73/40/75/41/73 Tulare 72/36/74/37/72
Woodlake 74/38/75/39/73 Hanford 74/41/76/41/73 Orosi 73/37/75/37/71

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

39/73

Friday

Mostly clear

39/75

Saturday

Mostly clear

42/78

Sunday

Mostly clear

43/76

Monday

Mostly clear

42/74

 

Two Week Outlook:  October 31 through November 6  this model is really no help in determining the chance of precipitation for the valley. Temperatures are projected to be marginally above average.

 

November:  Both the 30 and 90 day projections indicate a swath of below average rainfall from southern California eastward to Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Much of northern California is projected to have near average rainfall. Temperatures will remain marginally above average.

 

November, December, January:  The 90 day model also projects lower than average precipitation from southern California through Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Northern and north/central California are projected to have near average precipitation with marginally above average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be generally variable to no more than 10 mph during the late morning through the afternoon hours. Winds during the overnight hours will be light to near calm.

 

Rain: Expect dry weather for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 84%32%, Porterville, 95%/33%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Upper 20s to the lower 30s.  Kern: Mid to upper 20s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today: 90%/. Tomorrow, 90%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .97, Parlier .81, Arvin .96, Porterville .85, Delano .84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 70, Parlier 69, Arvin, 73, Porterville 75, Delano 74. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 75/49. Record Temperatures: 95/36

Heating Degree Days This Season.  5 -41. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  .00  -.34,  Monthly  .,00 -.34

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, .00 or -.16.  Monthly,  -.00 -.16

Average Temperature this month: 71.9 +5.8 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, ,  Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise 7:16, Sunset, 6:09, hours of daylight, 10:56

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  72 /  48 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  71 /  42 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  71 /  49 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  72 /  48 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  73 /  45 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  68 /  47 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  71 /  45 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH0853 /   M /  53 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  70 /  41 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  68 /  51 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th

STOCKTON                      0.00    0.00     0    0.45   107     0.42    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    0.00     0    0.49   148     0.33    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    0.00     0    0.16    41     0.39    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    0.00     0    0.06    24     0.25    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    0.00     0    0.41   121     0.34    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    0.00     0    0.09    31     0.29     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    0.00     0    0.03    19     0.16     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00       T     0       T     0     0.26     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    0.01     3    0.21    57     0.37    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    0.00     0    0.02     6     0.34    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00       T     0       T     0     0.31    13.32

 

Next report: Monday, October 25

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.