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Forecast

November 13, 2022 afternoon report

November 13, 2022

Temperatures as of midday are running anywhere from the upper 40s to the mid 50s. it’s also somewhat breezy along the west side. The Lemoore NAS, for example, is reporting winds out of the north/northwest sustained at 17 mph. Most of the rest of the valley floor has light and variable winds. A weak upper air disturbance that moved through western Nevada this morning is now moving into northwest Arizona. Behind this system is yet another northerly flow which continues to cause cloud cover to bank up against the north facing slopes of the Tehachapi Mountains and, to a lesser extent, the west facing slopes of the Sierra Nevada. Temperatures are running generally from 2 to 4 degrees cooler than 24 hours ago while dew points are roughly the same. It’s possible some of the south valley’s cloud cover could last well into tonight or even all the way into Monday morning. The main impact, however, will be another reinforcing shot of cold air.

 

A second low is off the northwest California coast and, like its predecessor, is also weak and dry. It will, though, keep a northerly flow moving down the valley for the remainder of the upcoming week. lower 60s will be the afternoon average with low to mid 30s at night. Models are in variance for this weekend and beyond, but nothing shows any signs of precipitation returning to central California. However, this is more of a chance of a northwesterly flow setting up about a week from tomorrow which would result in modifying temperatures a tad.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear tonight, but remaining partly to mostly cloudy in portions of Kern County and eastern Tulare County. Mostly clear Monday through Thursday with areas of night and morning low clouds and fog, mainly up the center of the valley north of Kern County. Mostly clear Thursday through Sunday with pockets of night and morning fog and low cloud.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 33/63/33/62 Reedley 32/62/32/62 Dinuba 31/61/31/62
Porterville 32/63/31/63 Lindsay 31/62/31/62 Delano 33/63/33/62
Bakersfield 39/63/40/61 Taft 40/61/42/60 Arvin 36/63/33/62
Lamont 37/63/36/62 Pixley 33/62/32/62 Tulare 31/61/31/61
Woodlake 32/61/32/62 Hanford 33/63/33/62 Orosi 32/63/32/62

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Wednesday. Winds during the late morning and afternoon hours will be generally less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost:  Like last night, portions of Kern and Tulare Counties may be dealing with some upslope clouds which continue to regenerate against the valley facing slopes of the Tehachapi and Sierra Nevada. any location where cloud cover is dominant will see readings only fall to near 40. Elsewhere, low to mid 30s can be anticipated.

 

The pattern for the remainder of the week will become somewhat more simple. By Tuesday morning,, the last of these little upper air disturbances will have passed, resulting in a straight north to south flow over california. The lion’s share of the coldest air will fortunately move into the interior west, allowing mid afternoon dew points to remain in the low 40s. That, in conjunction with a relatively damp valley floor, means temperatures will remain acceptable for the rest of the week.

 

Models show more of a flat ridge taking over the state after this coming Sunday which should result in somewhat higher dew points and somewhat warmer temperatures. However, low to mid 30s will remain prevalent until we pass that juncture.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

33

Porterville

32

Ivanhoe

31

Woodlake

32

Strathmore

32

McFarland

31

Ducor

34

Tea Pot Dome

32

Lindsay

31

Exeter

31

Famoso

33

Madera

32

Belridge

31

Delano

33

North Bakersfield

34

Orosi

32

Orange Cove

33

Lindcove

30

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

29

Root Creek

31

Venice Hill

32

Rosedale

33

Jasmine

33

Arvin

31

Lamont

Af

Plainview

32

Mettler

33

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Creek

32

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

32

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: November 14 morning

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.