November 18, 2022
The band of mid and high level clouds has now moved into southern California. Strong surface and upper level high pressure is rapidly building over the Great Basin. This will set the stage for another round of Santa Ana winds this weekend due to relatively steep differences in pressure between the Great Basin and off the southern California coast. It’s always a gamble to forecast winds in the south valley under Santa Ana wind conditions, but it’s possible localized gusty south to southeast winds may crank up below places like the bottom of the Grapevine or even further east towards highway 198. Otherwise, the weekend weather will be uneventful with hazy skies and patchy late night and early morning fog. A weak weather system will try to approach the northern California coast Monday but it will basically fall apart off shore. Its remnants will form an upper low off the southern California coast, with no weather. Still nothing of note regarding rain anytime soon. For now, Thanksgiving Day’s weather looks to be similar to that of today. One model places a 64 degree mark on Thanksgiving Day and near 70 on Friday and Saturday. Some of the medium range models are showing rain trying to move into northern California around December 1, although truthfully, there’s a wide variety of possibilities. A buffet of weather, so to speak.
Forecast: outside of patchy morning fog and lots of valley haze, it will be mostly clear through Monday night. Just patchy late night and morning fog and hazy afternoons Tuesday through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 31/64/32/65 | Reedley 32/65/32/65 | Dinuba 30/64/31/65 |
| Porterville 31/65/31/66 | Lindsay 30/64/30/65 | Delano 32/65/32/66 |
| Bakersfield 41/65/40/65 | Taft 42/64/42/65 | Arvin 37/66/37/67 |
| Lamont 36/64/36/66 | Pixley 31/64/32/65 | Tulare 30/63/31/64 |
| Woodlake 31/64/31/65 | Hanford 32/65/32/66 | Orosi 31/63/32/64 |
Wind Discussion: Winds through early this evening will be out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 5mph with locally stronger gusts. The chance of strong, gusty winds moving downslope off the Tehachapi Mountains will increase later tonight and Saturday. If these winds materialize, gusts to 40 or 50 mph are possible at places like the bottom of the Grapevine. There’s also a decent chance they may not make it to the valey floor. However, with the pattern showing up on charts, I fee it prudent to add the chance to the forecast Winds later Saturday through Monday will generally be at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Air temperatures are a bit cooler than 24 hours ago and dew points have risen slightly over the past 24 hours so we can expect another night in the low to mid 30s. Upper 20s are possible in those colder locations. Similar conditions can be expected Sunday and Monday mornings, as well. For now, I see little hope in changing this stagnant weather pattern as upper level high pressure remains anchored over and off the west coast. With dry weather expected for the next week to ten days, the status quo will remain in effect.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
31 |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
32 |
| Strathmore
31 |
McFarland
30 |
Ducor
32 |
Tea Pot Dome
31 |
| Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
30 |
Famoso
33 |
Madera
31 |
| Belridge
31 |
Delano
32 |
North Bakersfield
32 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
30 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
28 |
| Root Creek
30 |
Venice Hill
31 |
Rosedale
33 |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
31 |
Mettler
32 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
31 |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Next report: November 19 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.