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Forecast

January 21, 2023 afternoon report

January 21, 2023

Skies are mostly clear at this noon hour with temperatures rising into the lower 50s. upper level high pressure continues to build over the eastern Pacific Ocean and roughly the western 1/4 of the US. The squeeze play between the off shore high and a low center over the Desert Southwest keeps the flow aloft in a northerly direction. By Sunday, a second weather system will follow the first into the Great Basin, reinforcing the current northly flow, meaning temperatures will remain marginally below average. Readings will rise into the low to mid 50s during the afternoon and the low to mid 30s for overnight lows. Isolated pockets will be in the upper 20s. by midweek, a mammoth high will cover the eastern Pacific and the western ¼ of the US. This will allow temperatures to moderate some as readings move into the mid to upper 50s from midweek through next weekend. Medium range models continue to indicate the possibility of an unsettled pattern the first day or two of February. In the meantime, our biggest challenge will involve fog and low clouds along with pockets of frost in scattered locations.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday with areas of night and morning fog and low clouds. Mostly clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Saturday with areas of night and morning areas of fog and low clouds.

 

Temperatures:

Madera 31/52/31/51 Reedley 32/52/31/52 Dinuba 30/51/30/52
Porterville 30/52/30/53 Lindsay 29/51/30/52 Delano 31/53/32/54
Bakersfield 35/50/35/52 Taft 36/51/36/52 Arvin 33/52/33/54
Lamont 34/53/33/54 Pixley 31/53/31/54 Tulare 29/52/30/52
Woodlake 31/51/31/53 Hanford 32/53/32/54 Orosi 30/51/31/53

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph late mornings and afternoons and variable in nature. winds during the night and morning hours will be light with extended periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.

 

Rain: Expect dry weather for the next week to possibly ten days.

 

Frost:  we are currently settling into a very stable pattern, one which will result in areas of frost through next week, anyway. Low to mid 30s will be widespread each night with the coldest locations dipping down to 27 to 28 degrees. Most locations, however, will chill down to 29 to 33 with hillsides remaining above freezing. The inversion the next few nights will be fairly strong with temperatures at 34 feet anywhere from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. Fog continues to be the main wild card in the forecast. I do expect it to become more widespread as the nights go by. Whether it locks into a full fledged fog routine is rather doubtful. However, it is certainly it will become widespread enough to affect areas away from the Sierra Nevada foothills. The bottom line is, widespread low to mid 30s will prevail with colder locations in the upper 20s through the middle of next week. we’ll simply have to watch the fog and try to outguess its behavior. There is no pattern on the horizon which would throw us into a critical situation for the foreseeable future.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

31

Porterville

31

Ivanhoe

30

Woodlake

31

Strathmore

31

McFarland

30

Ducor

32

Tea Pot Dome

31

Lindsay

30

Exeter

30

Famoso

31

Madera

31

Belridge

30

Delano

31

North Bakersfield

32

Orosi

30

Orange Cove

31

Lindcove

30

Lindcove Hillside

af

Sanger River Bottom

28

Root creek

3-

Venice Hill

31

Rosedale

32

Jasmine

32

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

31

Mettler

32

Edison

Af

Maricopa

32

Holland Creek

31

Tivy Valley

af

Kite Road South

31

Kite Road North

af

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: January 22 morning

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.