January 21, 2023
At the regularly reporting weather stations, only Visalia is reporting a reduced visibility. Visalia’s reporting ¼ mile visibility while all others are reporting 6 miles or better. Skies are generally clear not only for the valley, but for the entire state of California. A ridge of upper level high pressure extends off shore north/northeastward into western Canada. This continues to maintain a northerly flow. Another system will move out of the Gulf of Alaska Sunday, through the Pacific Northwest and then into the Great Basin too far to the east to directly impact our weather. It will, however, keep the northerly flow going for marginally below average temperatures. A massive high will build over the eastern Pacific Ocean Monday and about the western ¼ of the lower 48. This will turn the winds aloft northwesterly, allowing for minor moderation in temperatures with highs rising into the mid to upper 50s, which is typical for the latter part of January. Lows will mostly be in the low to mid 30s. medium range models show the dry pattern continuing almost through late January. The two week model is now calling for above average rain for early February with below average temperatures.
Forecast: Outside of patchy night and morning fog, it will be mostly clear through Tuesday. Pockets of night and morning fog will continue Wednesday through Saturday. Otherwise, mostly clear but hazy conditions will prevail.
Temperatures:
| Madera 53/31/52/31/53 | Reedley 54/32/53/32/53 | Dinuba 52/30/52/31/50 |
| Porterville 55/31/55/31/54 | Lindsay 54/30/54/30/53 | Delano 55/32/55/32/55 |
| Bakersfield 54/35/52/35/52 | Taft 53/36/52/34/52 | Arvin 55/33/52/34/53 |
| Lamont 55/34/55/33/53 | Pixley 52/31/52/31/52 | Tulare 52/31/52/30/53 |
| Woodlake 53/32/53/31/53 | Hanford 54/33/53/31/53 | Orosi 54/31/54/30/53 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Am fog/pm sun 32/55 |
Wednesday
Am fog/pm sun 33/57 |
Thursday
Am fog/pm sun 33/57 |
Friday
Am fog/pm sun 34/58 |
Saturday
Am fog/pm sun 33/56 |
Two Week Outlook: January 28 through February 3: This model for the second day in a row is shifting towards a pattern that would bring precipitation back to central California. Potential storminess would be from the Gulf of Alaska so it appears we will start off February with below average temperatures.
January: This model continues the trend of the season with a favorable pattern for rain for California. The best chance of rain in January will be over the northern half of the state. Temperatures will run marginally below average.
January, February, March: This model nudges the storm track further north with near average rainfall for northern California but somewhat below average for central and southern California. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph late mornings and afternoons and variable in nature. winds during the night and morning hours will be light with extended periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to possibly 10 days.
Frost Discussion: Lows this morning are mostly in the low to mid 30s with a few upper 20s in the typical cold spots. Conditions tonight will be quite similar with the very coldest locations dipping down to 27 to28 degrees. Most flat terrain areas will dip down to 29 to 33 with hillsides remaining above freezing. Tonight’s inversion will be decent with temperatures at 34 feet ranging from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. The forecast for the next week or so is very stable. The only wild card continues to be fog potential and how widespread it ultimately becomes. So far the fog has been patchy, but that can certainly change. Minor modification in the atmosphere will take place beginning mid week, however lows will still dip into the low to mid 30s with isolated pockets in the upper 20s.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
31 |
Ivanhoe
30 |
Woodlake
31 |
| Strathmore
31 |
McFarland
30 |
Ducor
32 |
Tea Pot Dome
31 |
| Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
30 |
Famoso
31 |
Madera
31 |
| Belridge
30 |
Delano
31 |
North Bakersfield
32 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
31 |
Lindcove
30 |
Lindcove Hillside
af |
Sanger River Bottom
28 |
| Root creek
3- |
Venice Hill
31 |
Rosedale
32 |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
31 |
Mettler
32 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
32 |
Holland Creek
31 |
Tivy Valley
af |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual humidity values for Porterville 100%/60%, Delano 98%53%. Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .28, Parlier, .22, Arvin .27, Porterville .21, Delano .26 Soil temperatures: Stratford 53, Parlier 51, Arvin 53, Porterville 48, Delano 50 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 56/38 Record Temperatures: 72/19
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1353 -47 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 9.20, 197% of average, Monthly 3.95
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 3.99, 151% of average, Monthly: 1.64
Average Temperature This Month 51.1 +4.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: Orange Cove NA, Parlier 857, Arvin 723 Belridge 801, Shafter 827, Stratford 842, Delano 854, Porterville 824 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:08 Sunset, 5:14, hours of daylight, 10:05
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 55 / 34 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 54 / 34 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 55 / 37 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 55 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 53 / 32 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 53 / 36 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 55 / 34 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 56 / 32 / 0.00 /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
SEAS. % LY % AVE YEAR
stOCKTON 0.00 15.47 248 8.21 132 6.24 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.42 243 8.15 147 5.53 12.27
MERCED 0.00 12.84 250 5.85 114 5.14 11.80
MADERA 0.00 4.59 101 1.52 33 4.54 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 9.20 197 5.21 111 4.68 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.80 192 4.61 130 3.54 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.99 149 3.56 133 2.68 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 8.57 400 4.50 210 2.14 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.39 55 M M 0.71 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 8.90 157 6.11 108 5.67 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 12.75 244 7.34 140 5.23 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 13.33 241 6.26 113 5.53 13.32
Nest report: January 21 afternoon
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.