January 22, 2023
There is quite a bit of fog over parts of the valley this morning, mainly in Fresno and Tulare Counties. It will be pretty slow to clear off but most, if not all, locations will see hazy sunshine by this afternoon. Upper level high pressure stretches from the eastern Pacific off the California coast while a low pressure system digs southward through the Great Basin. This is giving a reinforcing shot of relatively cold air into California, ensuring marginally below average temperatures through Monday. the off shore high will begin to bulge eastward into the western ¼ of the US beginning Tuesday. The high will build northward, covering the entire eastern Pacific Ocean by midweek and shielding California from any potentially active weather through all of next week. models continue to show a potentially active weather pattern beginning around the first of February or so, resulting in a chance of precipitation. between now and then, the main challenge will be fog and low clouds and the coverage during the night and morning hours.
Forecast: Areas of night and morning fog and low clouds. Otherwise, expect hazy sunshine today through Wednesday. Night and morning fog and low clouds will continue Wednesday through Sunday with hazy afternoon sun in most areas.
Temperatures:
| Madera 53/32/52/32/52 | Reedley 52/31/52/32/57 | Dinuba 54/31/54/31/57 |
| Porterville 55/32/55/31/56 | Lindsay 54/31/54/32/57 | Delano 55/33/55/34/57 |
| Bakersfield 53/34/55/35/58 | Taft 52/35/52/36/57 | Arvin 55/34/55/35/58 |
| Lamont 54/34/55/34/57 | Pixley 53/32/54/33/56 | Tulare 55/31/55/31/56 |
| Woodlake 53/32/54/32/57 | Hanford 54/32/54/33/57 | Orosi 52/31/52/31/56 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Wednesday
Am fog/pm sun 32/57 |
Thursday
Am fog/pm sun 33/58 |
Friday
Am fog/pm sun 33/57 |
Saturday
Am fog/pm sun 36/57 |
Sunday
Am fog/pm sun 33/58 |
Two Week Outlook: January 28 through February 3: This model for the second day in a row is shifting towards a pattern that would bring precipitation back to central California. Potential storminess would be from the Gulf of Alaska so it appears we will start off February with below average temperatures.
January: This model continues the trend of the season with a favorable pattern for rain for California. The best chance of rain in January will be over the northern half of the state. Temperatures will run marginally below average.
January, February, March: This model nudges the storm track further north with near average rainfall for northern California but somewhat below average for central and southern California. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph late mornings and afternoons and variable in nature. winds during the night and morning hours will be light with extended periods of near calm conditions through Wednesday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to possibly 10 days.
Frost Discussion: Temperatures at most locations this morning were in the low to mid 30s with coldest locations down to 28 to 29 or so. Anticipate the same outcome tonight and over the next few nights as we have a relatively cold air mass parked on the valley floor underneath a warm air inversion. That same warm air inversion is allowing a great deal of fog to form this morning and will continue to do so. Coldest locations will drop down to 27 to 28 degrees. However, most locations will range between 29 and 33 degrees. Hillsides will be above freezing. The inversion tonight will be strong with temperatures at 34 feet ranging from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. A large upper high is parked right off the California coast and will expand inland over the next 72 hours, firming up the inversion even more. This will set the state for more valley fog. Whether or not the fog takes over is a big question, one which only Mother Nature can predict.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
30 |
Ivanhoe
29 |
Woodlake
30 |
| Strathmore
31 |
McFarland
29 |
Ducor
31 |
Tea Pot Dome
30 |
| Lindsay
29 |
Exeter
29 |
Famoso
31 |
Madera
30 |
| Belridge
29 |
Delano
30 |
North Bakersfield
30 |
Orosi
29 |
| Orange Cove
31 |
Lindcove
29 |
Lindcove Hillside
af |
Sanger River Bottom
27 |
| Root creek
29 |
Venice Hill
30 |
Rosedale
31 |
Jasmine
31 |
| Arvin
32 |
Lamont
32 |
Plainview
30 |
Mettler
30 |
| Edison
33 |
Maricopa
31 |
Holland Creek
31 |
Tivy Valley
29 |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
29 |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual humidity values for Porterville 100%/60%, Delano 98%53%. Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .33, Parlier, .27, Arvin .34, Porterville .27, Delano .32 Soil temperatures: Stratford 53, Parlier 51, Arvin 52, Porterville 48, Delano 49 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 56/38 Record Temperatures: 72/19
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1374 -45 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 9.20, 197% of average, Monthly 3.95
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 3.99, 151% of average, Monthly: 1.64
Average Temperature This Month 51.1 +4.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: Orange Cove NA, Parlier 874, Arvin 736 Belridge 817, Shafter 842, Stratford 857, Delano 869, Porterville 838 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:08 Sunset, 5:14, hours of daylight, 10:06
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 55 / 36 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 56 / 37 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 55 / 38 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 56 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 56 / 35 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 55 / 38 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 55 / 35 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 57 / 33 / 0.00 /
/Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
SEAS. % LY % AVE YEAR
Stockton 0.00 15.47 248 8.21 132 6.24 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.42 243 8.15 147 5.53 12.27
MERCED 0.00 12.84 250 5.85 114 5.14 11.80
MADERA 0.00 4.59 101 1.52 33 4.54 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 9.20 197 5.21 111 4.68 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.80 192 4.61 130 3.54 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.99 149 3.56 133 2.68 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 8.57 400 4.50 210 2.14 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.39 55 M M 0.71 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 8.90 157 6.11 108 5.67 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 12.75 244 7.34 140 5.23 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 13.33 241 6.26 113 5.53 13.32
Nest report: January 23 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.